#6Jordan Houston

RB·Marshall·2024

Jordan Houston is a Explosive Back for Marshall. Jordan's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 122 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jordan Houston's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing

592 Rush yards2 Rush TD111 Carries5.3 Yards/carry

Receiving

13 Receptions173 Rec yards1 Rec TD13.3 Yards/rec

Returns

14 Kick returns299 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume44
Explosiveness46
Consistency35
Receiving53

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency35th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.09 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.23 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs App State (SP+ -8).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsStony Brook	W45-3	—	9	38	4.2	0	—	—	—	0.00
2	@Virginia Tech	L14-31	10.0	8	17	2.1	0	—	—	—	-0.36
4	@Ohio State	L14-49	31.2	7	29	4.1	0	1	6	0	-0.17
5	vsWestern Michigan	W27-20	-10.2	9	41	4.6	0	1	6	0	0.17
6	vsApp State	W52-37	-8.1	6	35	5.8	0	1	75	1	1.23
7	@Georgia Southern	L23-24	-1.7	6	18	3.0	0	2	25	0	0.05
8	vsGeorgia State	W35-20	-17.9	5	38	7.6	0	1	5	0	0.17
10	vsUL Monroe	W28-23	-16.7	9	80	8.9	0	2	29	0	0.57
11	@Southern Miss	W37-3	-25.6	11	40	3.6	0	1	4	0	-0.16
12	vsCoastal Carolina	W31-19	-6.9	9	33	3.7	0	—	—	—	-0.15
13	@Old Dominion	W42-35	-6.0	9	56	6.2	1	1	3	0	-0.02
14	@James Madison	W35-33	7.5	6	50	8.3	0	3	20	0	0.73
15	@Louisiana	W31-3	4.8	17	117	6.9	1	—	—	—	0.49

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

15.3%

Passing plays

4.5%

Rushing plays

22.9%

Standard downs

17.1%

Passing downs

11.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.14
Passing downs: 0.40
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.62 / 0.14

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).