#5Jaquari Lewis

RB·App State·2025

Jaquari Lewis is a Committee Back for App State. Jaquari's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 158 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jaquari Lewis's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

618 Rush yards6 Rush TD140 Carries4.4 Yards/carry

Receiving

32 Receptions192 Rec yards0 Rec TD6.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume57
Explosiveness28
Consistency0
Receiving66

Player type

Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.12 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.59 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Southern Miss (SP+ -7).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsCharlotte	W34-11	-26.7	8	32	4.0	0	—	—	—	-0.20
2	vsLindenwood	W20-13	—	1	4	4.0	0	—	—	—	—
3	@Southern Miss	L22-38	-7.1	2	12	6.0	1	4	28	0	0.59
5	@Boise State	L14-47	3.1	7	23	3.3	1	1	1	0	0.09
6	vsOregon State	W27-23	-15.9	10	42	4.2	0	1	11	0	0.01
7	@Georgia State	W41-20	-24.5	14	57	4.1	1	1	3	0	0.04
8	vsCoastal Carolina	L37-45	-15.1	15	43	2.9	0	5	41	0	0.14
9	@Old Dominion	L21-24	5.9	4	17	4.3	0	2	8	0	0.23
11	vsGeorgia Southern	L23-25	-9.4	6	50	8.3	1	1	1	0	-0.23
12	@James Madison	L10-58	12.3	2	0	0.0	0	3	4	0	-0.18
13	vsMarshall	W26-24	-4.5	33	175	5.3	2	5	39	0	0.10
14	vsArkansas State	L29-30	-8.8	22	108	4.9	0	4	21	0	-0.00
20	vsGeorgia Southern	L10-29	-9.4	16	55	3.4	0	5	35	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

19.8%

Passing plays

7.2%

Rushing plays

38.1%

Standard downs

23.5%

Passing downs

12.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.01
Passing downs: 0.43
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.48 / -0.01

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).