#10Haynes King

QB·Georgia Tech·2025 202310.6 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Haynes King is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Georgia Tech. Haynes's 2023 season ranks in the 63th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 440 plays — a average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Haynes King's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Passing

226/367 Comp/Att2842 Pass yards27 Pass TD16 INT61.6% Comp %

Rushing

737 Rush yards10 Rush TD120 Carries6.1 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs QB peers

Efficiency63
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency88
Clutch91

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)63th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency88th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸9 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.72 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs North Carolina (SP+ 7).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.5	323.0
Tanner Mordecai	SMU	2021	510	0.630	14.0	321.5
Ryan Higgins	Louisiana Tech	2016	571	0.586	13.7	334.6
Malik Cunningham	Louisville	2021	502	0.681	14.7	341.6
Kaidon Salter	Liberty	2023	486	0.711	14.7	345.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsLouisville	L34-39	8.0	19/32	313	3	1	77.3	53	0	0.43
2	vsSouth Carolina State	W48-13	—	21/29	290	4	0	84.0	0	0	0.66
3	@Ole Miss	L23-48	18.4	28/41	307	2	0	67.6	42	1	0.44
4	@Wake Forest	W30-16	-7.9	16/27	222	2	1	69.7	53	0	0.54
5	vsBowling Green	L27-38	-7.8	23/37	348	4	2	35.0	28	0	0.47
6	@Miami	W23-20	9.6	12/25	151	1	2	59.4	46	1	0.24
8	vsBoston College	L23-38	-5.9	14/32	204	1	3	42.3	150	1	0.57
9	vsNorth Carolina	W46-42	7.4	23/30	287	4	1	95.4	90	0	0.72
10	@Virginia	W45-17	-10.8	23/30	208	1	0	95.0	83	2	0.62
11	@Clemson	L21-42	10.5	13/31	129	2	4	10.1	-3	1	0.14
12	vsSyracuse	W31-22	-4.4	16/20	138	2	1	89.8	82	1	0.60
13	vsGeorgia	L23-31	31.2	11/20	158	0	0	59.5	24	2	0.11
20	vsUCF	W30-17	3.4	7/13	87	1	1	83.0	89	1	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

54.5%

Passing plays

96.8%

Rushing plays

21.7%

Standard downs

46.1%

Passing downs

73.2%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.36
Passing downs: 0.61
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.44 / 0.54

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2023 — 2025 · 25 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2023	Georgia Tech	10.6	0.578	—	274.8
2025	Georgia Tech	7.8	0.383	-0.19	212.8

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.