#2Grayson McCall

QB·Coastal Carolina·2022 20208.5 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Grayson McCall is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Coastal Carolina. Grayson's 2022 season ranks in the 75th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 373 plays — a above-average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Grayson McCall's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2022 Production

Passing

207/297 Comp/Att2700 Pass yards24 Pass TD2 INT69.7% Comp %

Rushing

195 Rush yards6 Rush TD91 Carries2.1 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2022 · vs QB peers

Efficiency75
Volume100
Dual-Threat76
Consistency86
Clutch69

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)75th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency86th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the QB position (75th percentile).
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.26 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.89 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Army (SP+ -2).

NIL Market Tier· 2022

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.5	323.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsArmy	W38-28	-1.5	12/17	174	3	0	91.5	27	1	0.89
2	vsGardner-Webb	W31-27	—	22/30	308	3	1	28.1	13	0	0.40
3	vsBuffalo	W38-26	-9.2	16/24	251	3	0	74.3	13	0	0.70
4	@Georgia State	W41-24	-3.3	19/27	268	2	0	87.9	38	1	0.51
5	vsGeorgia Southern	W34-30	-6.4	23/34	335	3	0	58.0	34	1	0.45
6	@UL Monroe	W28-21	-15.7	19/28	246	1	0	57.0	41	0	0.48
7	vsOld Dominion	L21-49	-13.0	26/34	358	3	0	84.8	-20	0	0.55
9	@Marshall	W24-13	3.0	13/24	121	1	0	61.6	12	1	0.34
10	vsApp State	W35-28	1.7	18/26	253	2	0	79.6	7	0	0.52
14	@Troy	L26-45	8.1	29/41	319	3	1	—	18	1	0.25
1	vsEast Carolina	L29-53	1.1	10/12	67	0	0	—	12	1	-0.00

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

51.1%

Passing plays

91.3%

Rushing plays

18.0%

Standard downs

44.0%

Passing downs

69.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.41
Passing downs: 0.55
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.51 / 0.28

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2020 — 2022 · 22 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2020	Coastal Carolina	10.3	0.615	—	229.5
2022	Coastal Carolina	8.5	0.562	-0.05	210.6

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.