#9Drew Plitt

QB·Ball State·20208.6 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Drew Plitt is a Dual-Threat QB for Ball State. Drew's 2020 season ranks in the 57th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 315 plays — a average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Drew Plitt's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2020 Production

Passing

164/250 Comp/Att2154 Pass yards17 Pass TD6 INT65.6% Comp %

Rushing

49 Rush yards4 Rush TD80 Carries0.6 Yards/carry

Punting

4 Punts143 Punt yards35.8 Yards/punt43 Long2 Inside 20

Performance Analysis · 2020 · vs QB peers

Efficiency57
Volume100
Dual-Threat93
Consistency91
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)57th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency91th %ile · elite

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.52 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs Miami (OH) (SP+ -13).

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
10	@Miami (OH)	L31-38	-12.9	19/32	309	1	1	44.4	16	0	0.52
11	vsEastern Michigan	W38-31	-12.2	22/31	232	1	1	—	-19	0	0.20
12	vsNorthern Illinois	W31-25	-18.4	17/25	214	2	1	—	20	0	0.33
13	@Toledo	W27-24	-3.6	26/35	304	2	1	—	17	1	0.29
14	@Central Michigan	W45-20	-1.8	26/43	366	4	1	—	29	1	0.49
15	vsWestern Michigan	W30-27	0.6	22/33	249	3	0	—	-9	0	0.21
16	vsBuffalo	W38-28	1.4	20/32	263	3	1	—	-16	1	0.40
1	vsSan José State	W34-13	0.1	12/19	217	1	0	—	11	1	0.42

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

53.0%

Passing plays

96.8%

Rushing plays

15.5%

Standard downs

47.3%

Passing downs

67.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.21
Passing downs: 0.60
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.35 / 0.37

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2020 · 8 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.