#28Dontae McMillan

RB·Eastern Michigan·2025

Dontae McMillan is a Featured Back for Eastern Michigan. Dontae's 2025 season ranks in the 68th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 211 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Dontae McMillan's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

1014 Rush yards4 Rush TD177 Carries5.7 Yards/carry

Receiving

33 Receptions375 Rec yards3 Rec TD11.4 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency68
Volume78
Explosiveness54
Consistency65
Receiving68

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)68th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency65th %ile · average

Key findings

▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.09 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.02 EPA/play in Wk 14 vs Western Michigan (SP+ -1).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
Hassan Haskins	Michigan	2021	280	0.380	4.8	106.4
Eno Benjamin	Arizona State	2018	316	0.330	4.6	104.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Texas State	L27-52	2.3	9	78	8.7	0	3	35	0	0.51
2	vsLong Island University	L23-28	—	8	58	7.3	1	1	33	1	0.19
3	@Kentucky	L23-48	1.8	13	83	6.4	0	3	22	0	0.26
4	vsLouisiana	W34-31	-10.1	19	126	6.6	0	2	11	0	0.27
5	@Central Michigan	L13-24	-8.8	13	71	5.5	0	3	33	0	0.08
6	@Buffalo	L30-31	-7.5	20	117	5.9	1	2	46	1	0.42
7	vsNorthern Illinois	W16-10	-16.7	23	104	4.5	0	4	11	0	-0.05
8	@Miami (OH)	L30-44	-3.4	11	37	3.4	0	1	6	0	0.13
9	vsOhio	L21-28	-4.0	10	49	4.9	0	5	9	0	-0.06
11	vsBowling Green	W27-21	-12.6	19	100	5.3	1	3	30	0	0.07
12	@Ball State	W24-9	-23.0	21	80	3.8	0	2	13	0	0.07
14	vsWestern Michigan	L21-31	-1.4	11	111	10.1	1	4	126	1	1.02

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

27.3%

Passing plays

10.2%

Rushing plays

46.3%

Standard downs

30.4%

Passing downs

20.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.14
Passing downs: 0.58
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.54 / 0.17

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).