#1Demond Williams Jr.

QB·Washington·20256.6 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Demond Williams Jr. is a Dual-Threat QB for Washington. Demond's 2025 season ranks in the 43th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 445 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Demond Williams Jr.'s projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

246/354 Comp/Att3065 Pass yards25 Pass TD8 INT69.5% Comp %

Rushing

612 Rush yards6 Rush TD143 Carries4.3 Yards/carry

Air yards

Where the ball goes, and how much of the gain is the throw rather than the run after it.

Attempts

7.3y

Avg depth

5.4y

After catch

66%

Catch rate

The ball travels 7.3 yards in the air on an average throw — 1.2 yards shorter than the median. Another 5.4 comes after the catch.

Where he throws

attempts · completion rate · yards

deep

20% · 35y

—

0% · 0y

short

58% · 152y

77% · 73y

81% · 267y

leftmiddleright

Depth and direction come from CFBD’s passing detail, which is backfilled after the games: this covers weeks 1–2 only. Spikes, throwaways and intentional grounding are excluded before any average.

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency43
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency70
Clutch96

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)43th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency70th %ile · average

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.29 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.16 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Washington State (SP+ 4).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsColorado State	W38-21	-15.6	18/24	226	1	0	69.7	68	0	0.32
2	vsUC Davis	W70-10	—	16/25	254	1	0	93.1	64	1	0.70
4	@Washington State	W59-24	3.8	16/19	298	4	0	99.3	88	1	1.16
5	vsOhio State	L6-24	30.1	18/22	173	0	0	49.2	-28	0	0.03
6	@Maryland	W24-20	0.6	28/41	275	2	1	74.0	54	0	0.29
7	vsRutgers	W38-19	1.0	21/27	402	2	0	92.4	136	2	0.80
8	@Michigan	L7-24	12.4	20/32	209	0	3	45.0	-19	0	0.10
9	vsIllinois	W42-25	12.9	26/33	280	4	0	90.5	66	0	0.59
11	@Wisconsin	L10-13	-4.4	20/32	134	1	1	45.2	61	0	0.04
12	vsPurdue	W49-13	-6.1	16/19	257	2	0	86.1	23	0	0.79
13	@UCLA	W48-14	-8.7	17/26	213	2	1	53.7	56	2	0.07
14	vsOregon	L14-26	25.9	15/30	129	2	2	59.9	27	0	-0.20
20	vsBoise State	W38-10	3.1	15/24	215	4	0	84.5	16	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

57.1%

Passing plays

93.5%

Rushing plays

25.2%

Standard downs

51.9%

Passing downs

70.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.25
Passing downs: 0.53
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.34 / 0.46

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2025 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.