Schedule & Results
WSUWashington StateW24-10✓Wk 2vs
USUUtah StateW16-14✓Wk 3vsEAWAEastern WashingtonWk 4vs
MINNMinnesota-4.661%Wk 5@
USCUSC+15.214%Wk 6vs
IOWAIowa-5.062%Wk 7@
PURPurdue-8.770%Wk 9@
NEBNebraska-1.053%Wk 10vs
PSUPenn State-7.067%Wk 11@
MSUMichigan State-15.183%Wk 12vs
IUIndiana+16.712%Wk 13@
OREOregon+17.712%Team Leaders
Demond Williams Jr.Passing517 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT- Demond Williams Jr.Rushing117 yds · 1 TD · 6.5 avg
Chris LawsonReceiving7 rec · 116 yds · 0 TD
Alex McLaughlinTackles15 tackles · 3 TFL · 2 sacks
Latest on Washington
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Demond Williams Jr. Meets a Cougar Defense Assembled From Fifteen Schools
Washington beat Boise State by 28 while gaining 0.7 more yards per drive
Five teams finished below .500 and were a whole lot better than that
Roster · 101 players
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Demond Williams Jr. | QB | JR | 5'11" | 191 | Chandler, AZ |
| 7 | Elijah Brown | QB | SO | 6'2" | 205 | Huntington Beach, CA |
| 9 | Dash Beierly | QB | FR | 6'0" | 213 | Temecula, CA |
| 10 | Treston McMillan | QB | FR | 5'11" | 213 | Mililani, HI |
| 15 | Derek Zammit | QB | FR | 6'0" | 208 | Lincoln Park, NJ |
| 4 | Jordan Washington | RB | SO | 5'10" | 181 | Long Beach, CA |
| 17 | Jayden Limar | RB | SR | 5'10" | 205 | Lake Stevens, WA |
| 20 | D'Aryhian Clemons | RB | FR | 5'10" | 175 | Spanaway, WA |
| 21 | Quaid Carr | RB | FR | 5'11" | 189 | Riverside, CA |
| 22 | Trey Cooley | RB | SR | 5'10" | 208 | Raleigh, NC |
| 27 | Beck Walker | RB | SR | 6'1" | 216 | Sammamish, WA |
| 29 | Julian McMahan | RB | FR | 6'1" | 234 | San Ramon, CA |
| 30 | Ansu Sanoe | RB | FR | 6'2" | 241 | Gresham, OR |
| 32 | Ryken Moon | RB | FR | 5'11" | 214 | Bellevue, WA |
| 34 | Brian Bonner Jr. | RB | FR | 5'11" | 196 | Santa Clarita, CA |
| 2 | Dezmen Roebuck | WR | SO | 5'11" | 184 | Marana, AZ |
| 3 | Rashid Williams | WR | JR | 6'1" | 200 | Brentwood, CA |
| 5 | Christian Moss | WR | SR | 6'3" | 205 | Kennesaw, GA |
| 6 | Mason James | WR | FR | 5'10" | 185 | Norman, OK |
| 8 | Chris Lawson | WR | SO | 6'0" | 184 | San Francisco, CA |
| 11 | Jordan Clay | WR | FR | 6'3" | 207 | San Antonio, TX |
| 12 | Trez Davis | WR | FR | 6'0" | 190 | West Monroe, LA |
| 16 | Justice Williams | WR | SO | 6'3" | 219 | Westlake Village, CA |
| 18 | Bodpegn Miller | WR | FR | 6'3" | 200 | Mansfield, OH |
| 35 | Jace Burton | WR | SO | 5'8" | 168 | Portland, OR |
| 80 | Blaise LaVista | WR | FR | 6'2" | 197 | Libertyville, IL |
| 81 | Asa Thompson | WR | FR | 6'1" | 185 | Sammamish, WA |
| 82 | Deji Ajose | WR | FR | 6'1" | 197 | Hercules, CA |
| 44 | Kade Eldridge | TE | JR | 6'4" | 250 | Lynden, WA |
| 45 | Austin Simmons | TE | FR | 6'5" | 251 | Albany, OR |
| 84 | Kekua Aumua | TE | FR | 6'5" | 266 | Hauula, HI |
| 85 | Baron Naone | TE | SO | 6'4" | 263 | West Linn, OR |
| 86 | Decker DeGraaf | TE | JR | 6'4" | 249 | San Dimas, CA |
| 88 | Sam Vyhlidal | TE | FR | 6'4" | 222 | Lake Oswego, OR |
| 89 | Charlie Crowell | TE | SO | 6'5" | 260 | Bend, OR |
| 54 | Parker Cross | OL | JR | 6'2" | 292 | Seattle, WA |
| 55 | Kolt Dieterich | OL | JR | 6'6" | 295 | Riesel, TX |
| 56 | Geirean Hatchett | OL | SR | 6'4" | 306 | Ferndale, WA |
| 65 | Jack Shaffer | OL | FR | 6'6" | 351 | Bismarck, ND |
| 66 | Landen Hatchett | OL | SR | 6'3" | 314 | Ferndale, WA |
| 67 | Aidan Anderson | OL | JR | 6'5" | 318 | Olympia, WA |
| 68 | Soane Faasolo | OL | JR | 6'8" | 320 | East Palo Alto, CA |
| 70 | Justin Hylkema | OL | FR | 6'7" | 326 | Santa Clara, CA |
| 71 | Ah Deong Yang | OL | FR | 6'3" | 343 | Puyallup, WA |
| 72 | John Mills | OL | SO | 6'6" | 338 | San Francisco, CA |
| 73 | Champ Taulealea | OL | FR | 6'5" | 344 | Milpitas, CA |
| 74 | Drew Azzopardi | OL | SR | 6'7" | 322 | Pacifica, CA |
| 75 | Lowen Colman-Brusa | OL | FR | 6'6" | 326 | Seattle, WA |
| 76 | Kodi Greene | OL | FR | 6'6" | 321 | Renton, WA |
| 77 | Elishah Jackett | OL | JR | 6'7" | 291 | Orange, CA |
| 78 | Jake Flores | OL | FR | 6'5" | 305 | Mission Viejo, CA |
| 79 | Dominic Harris | OL | FR | 6'7" | 356 | Las Vegas, NV |
| 11 | Ramzak Fruean | EDGE | FR | 6'4" | 226 | Nanakuli, HI |
| 12 | Logan George | EDGE | JR | 6'4" | 264 | Pocatello, ID |
| 44 | Hayden Moore | EDGE | JR | 6'3" | 238 | Parker, CO |
| 48 | Jacob Lane | EDGE | SR | 6'5" | 256 | Puyallup, WA |
| 52 | Devin Hyde | EDGE | SO | 6'5" | 253 | Menlo Park, CA |
| 55 | Victor Sanchez Hernandez | EDGE | FR | 6'5" | 256 | Mukilteo, WA |
| 91 | Isaiah Ward | EDGE | SR | 6'4" | 238 | Ontario, CA |
| 99 | Russell Davis II | EDGE | SR | 6'3" | 231 | Long Beach, CA |
| 5 | Derek Colman-Brusa | DL | FR | 6'5" | 295 | Seattle, WA |
| 18 | Kai McClendon | DL | SO | 6'1" | 334 | Gulfport, MS |
| 33 | Darin Conley | DL | JR | 6'3" | 290 | Kansas City, MO |
| 50 | David Schwerzel | DL | FR | 6'4" | 275 | Seattle, WA |
| 54 | JD Hill | DL | FR | 6'2" | 275 | Mission Viejo, CA |
| 56 | Ta'a Malu | DL | FR | 6'4" | 280 | Tacoma, WA |
| 58 | DeSean Watts | DL | JR | 6'0" | 313 | Fresno, CA |
| 64 | Tufanua Ionatana Umu-Cais | DL | FR | 6'2" | 312 | Englewood, CO |
| 90 | Elinneus Davis | DL | JR | 6'3" | 312 | Moorhead, MN |
| 94 | Joseph Peko | DL | FR | 6'2" | 315 | Calabasas, CA |
| 98 | Omar Khan | DL | SO | 6'3" | 312 | Cypress, TX |
| 0 | Taariq Al-Uqdah | LB | SR | 5'10" | 236 | Los Angeles, CA |
| 9 | Jacob Manu | LB | SR | 5'9" | 222 | Santa Ana, CA |
| 10 | Xe'ree Alexander | LB | SR | 6'1" | 238 | Auburn, WA |
| 23 | Zaydrius Rainey-Sale | LB | SO | 6'2" | 216 | Tacoma, WA |
| 25 | Donovan Robinson Jr. | LB | FR | 6'2" | 222 | Chicago, IL |
| 40 | Ezaya Tokio | LB | FR | 6'4" | 230 | Oceanside, CA |
| 57 | Jesse Ewell | LB | FR | — | — | San Clemente, CA |
| 3 | Emmanuel Karnley | CB | JR | 6'0" | 188 | Antioch, CA |
| 6 | Dylan Robinson | CB | SO | 6'3" | 210 | La Verne, CA |
| 8 | Ramonz Adams Jr. | CB | FR | 6'0" | 176 | Smithville, TX |
| 13 | Rahsjon Duncan | CB | FR | 6'1" | 186 | Oakland, CA |
| 17 | Elijah Durr | CB | FR | 6'0" | 186 | Los Angeles, CA |
| 24 | Jeron Jones | CB | FR | 5'11" | 177 | Mission Viejo, CA |
| 26 | Elias Johnson | CB | SO | 6'2" | 179 | Tualatin, OR |
| 28 | Ksani Jiles | CB | FR | 6'0" | 193 | Inglewood, CA |
| 30 | Kayden Greene | CB | SO | 6'1" | 188 | Sammamish, WA |
| 2 | Rahshawn Clark | S | SO | 5'11" | 198 | Seattle, WA |
| 4 | Rylon Dillard-Allen | S | SO | 5'11" | 187 | Phoenix, AZ |
| 7 | Alex McLaughlin | S | SR | 6'2" | 204 | Chandler, AZ |
| 15 | Rahim Wright II | S | SO | 5'10" | 195 | Fontana, CA |
| 21 | Gavin Day | S | FR | 6'3" | 195 | Las Vegas, NV |
| 31 | Paul Mencke Jr. | S | SO | 6'3" | 201 | Cibolo, TX |
| — | CJ Christian | S | SR | 6'0" | 209 | Normal, IL |
| 36 | C.J. Wallace | PK | FR | 5'10" | 182 | Manhattan Beach, CA |
| 38 | Hunter McKee | PK | SO | 6'3" | 211 | Spokane, WA |
| 95 | Tyler Robles | PK | JR | 5'7" | 178 | Encinitas, CA |
| 45 | Luke Dunne | P | JR | 6'5" | 214 | Benalla, VIC |
| 93 | Hunter Green | P | SR | 6'4" | 230 | Redmond, WA |
| 33 | Ryan Kean | LS | SR | 6'0" | 216 | Corona, CA |
| 42 | Ben Ferber | LS | FR | — | — | Delray Beach, FL |
Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Scouting Report · 2 games in
Washington throws it: Jedd Fisch's offenses have been pass-leaning across 6 seasons. The strengths are on both sides of the ball, led by 8th at generating havoc. The way in is 136th at hitting chunk plays.
On fourth down he goes for it about as often as his peers do from the same spots (+1.9%). Against what the expected-points model recommends he is −18.9% — the profession as a whole is negative on this.
Washington has played 2 games against an average slate, adjusted for here. That football carries about 23% of what is below; the rest is still the preseason projection.
Strengths
- Defensesacks and tackles for loss27.8%#8 of 138
- Offensefirst and second down53%#9 of 138
- Offensesacks and tackles for loss9.2%#11 of 138
Soft spots
- Offensehitting chunk plays0.99#136 of 138
Each bar is where this team sits in the country. Before the season has produced enough football these are PROJECTIONS — last season regressed to the mean, plus talent, returning production, recruiting and whether the staff is the same one — and the season replaces them as it is played. Head coaches only — there is no free feed for coordinators, so on a program where the head coach does not call the offense this describes the staff he hired. Play-calling identity is a style, not a grade: throwing more than the situations warrant is not better than throwing less than they warrant.
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 9 to playHow the season could finish · 2026 · chance of each final win total · 9 games left
Every remaining game simulated from the model's win probability for it. Tallest bar is the single likeliest finish, not a prediction that it happens.
Player Value
EPA contribution by position group + estimated NIL market value (derived from position rates and on-field production — not actual deal figures).
Total EPA produced by each positional group this season. OL value is captured via the rush/pass efficiency of skill players; OL-specific EPA isn't separately reported.
Estimated from position-group market rates and on-field EPA contribution. Actual NIL valuations depend on social media following, brand fit, and market negotiations — these figures are directional only.
The Five Factors
ranked vs. FBS · bar = betterOpponent-adjusted efficiency
EPA/play vs. schedulePass vs. rush (PPA)
Trenches & disruption
- Line yards (off)
- 2.65#115
- 2nd-level / open-field
- 0.90 / 0.85
- Power / stuff (off)
- 57.1% / 25.4%
- Havoc — total (def)
- 27.8%#4
- Havoc — front 7 / DB
- 15.7% / 12.2%
Standard vs. passing downs
ProPPA on each down type (off vs. def).
Opponent-adjusted by down
Pro| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 0.20#35 | -0.02#112 | 0.49#76 |
| Defense | 0.01#87 | -0.23#14 | 0.20#40 |
Elo Trajectory
Team Fingerprint · 2026 · 46 opponent-adjusted metrics · percentile vs 138 FBS teams
Plot these →Efficiency
- Offense EPA/play0.0716th
- Defense EPA/play allowed-0.0275th
- Offense success rate44%48th
- Defense success rate allowed31%80th
Downs
- Offense success — standard downs53%69th
- Offense success — passing downs17%5th
- Defense success allowed — standard downs34%85th
- Defense success allowed — passing downs23%70th
Explosiveness
- Offense explosiveness1.007th
- Defense explosiveness allowed1.323rd
- Offense explosiveness — standard downs0.8814th
- Offense explosiveness — passing downs2.162nd
Trenches
- Offense line yards2.718th
- Defense line yards allowed2.560th
- Offense highlight yards0.8539th
- Defense highlight yards allowed0.5956th
- Offense power success0.5520th
- Defense power success allowed0.0099th
- Offense stuff rate0.259th
- Defense stuff rate0.3799th
Third down
- Third down conversion34%23rd
- Third down distance faced7.917th
- Third down conversion allowed29%75th
- Third down distance forced7.865th
Halves
- Net success rate — first half0.1776th
- Net success rate — second half0.0447th
Drives
- Points per drive1.638th
- Points per drive allowed1.182nd
- Average starting field position3168th
- Opponent starting field position2762nd
- Available yards gained44%34th
- Available yards allowed32%88th
- Scoring opportunities per drive85%64th
- Scoring opportunities allowed64%93rd
- Points per scoring opportunity1.926th
- Points allowed per opportunity1.782nd
- Three-and-out rate25%46th
- Three-and-outs forced45%95th
CORE
- CORE offense-6.013th
- CORE defense-5.483rd
- CORE overall-0.5645th
Roster
- Returning usage57%67th
- Returning EPA22883rd
- Team talent composite77883rd
- Recruiting class rank13.091st
- Recruiting class points26291st
Every metric is opponent-adjusted and ranked so that higher is always better — a defensive rate that is good when low is ranked accordingly. Sack and tackle-for-loss composition are deliberately absent: their relationship to team quality is a measured null, so they carry a style rather than a rank, and they appear in the pressure signature instead.
Intelligence Report
Offensive DNA
Pass efficiency edge: 0.190 EPA/play
Defensive Identity
Disruption comes evenly from front and secondary.
Season Signature
2-0 record through 2 games.
Team Shape · percentile vs. FBS · dashed = 50th
Each axis = national percentile rank. 100th = best in FBS, 0th = worst. Defense and Havoc are oriented so higher = better.
CORE efficiency · situation and opponent removed
Points per 100 plays above average, after the game state is regressed out of every snap and the schedule is solved out across the whole league. The version of this team’s efficiency that can be compared to a team it never played.
What a possession is worth · 20 drives
Play-calling identity
Against what the league calls from the same down, distance, field position, score and clock — so this is the staff, not the game script.
- Pass rate
- 57.3%
- Expected, given the spots
- 44.1%
- Over expected
- +13.2
- Fourth down vs peers
- -5
- Fourth down vs the model
- -57
National Landscape · 2026 FBS · offense vs. defense EPA/play
Each dot = one FBS team. Washington is highlighted. Tap or hover a dot for details.
Similar Programs
Teams with the closest offense + defense efficiency profile to Washington in 2026
Similarity = normalized Euclidean distance on season offensive and defensive EPA/play. Teams within ±0.02 EPA/play on both units score >90%.
Program Trajectory · CORE rating · 2015–2026 · points per game vs an average FBS team
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 100% | 1.8 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 9-4 | 5-4 | 69% | 8.7 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 46% | 7.2 | -1.2 |
| 2023 | 14-1 | 10-0 | 93% | 10.6 | +3.4 |
| 2022 | 11-2 | 7-2 | 85% | 8.2 | +2.8 |
| 2021 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 33% | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 2020 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 75% | 2.6 | +0.4 |
| 2019 | 8-5 | 4-5 | 62% | 8.0 | -0.0 |
| 2018 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 71% | 11.2 | -1.2 |
| 2017 | 10-3 | 7-2 | 77% | 10.1 | -0.1 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).
2-0 so far, projected to finish 7.0-5.0. Top-four bye in 0.8%. Wins the Big Ten in 0.8%.
If they finish with…
Their chance of making it at each final loss count. Better than even up to 2.
down 14.0 points since preseason — won 24-10 over Washington State against an expected margin of +23, so −8.5 against the number.
- At 3 losses they are 1.5% where the average Big Ten team is 12%.
- The Big Ten takes 2.71 bids in an average season, and four or more in 18%.
Washington’s own turning points
Points of playoff probability between winning and losing.
- wk12vs Indiana17.6
- wk13at Oregon15.6
- wk5at USC13.8
- wk10vs Penn State11.9
- wk9at Nebraska11.6
- wk6vs Iowa9.5
Who to root for
Games Washington is not in that move its odds most. Same units, much smaller scale.
- wk3Utah State over Utah1.4
- wk6Kentucky over LSU1.0
- wk10UL Monroe over Arkansas State0.9
- wk11Vanderbilt over Alabama0.9
- wk3Sam Houston over Nicholls0.8
- wk11Northwestern over Ohio State0.8
Big Ten
0-0 in league play, projected 4.0-5.010 of 18 by title oddsThe Big Ten sends its top two by conference winning percentage, head-to-head breaking a tie. The last berth is level on percentage in 50% of simulated seasons, so a tiebreaker decides it about that often.
- wk12Indiana at Washington3.0
- wk13Washington at Oregon2.2
- wk5Washington at USC1.9
- wk10Penn State at Washington1.7
Points of title probability riding on each result. The whole Big Ten race →
If not the playoff, then
Washington is 2-0 and needs 4 more wins from 10 games to reach the six that make a team eligible — at most one of which may come against an FCS opponent. In 3.3% of seasons they get there and still go nowhere: there are more eligible teams than seats.
- GameAbove Sports Bowl9.3%
- LA Bowl9.0%
- Rate Bowl8.6%
- Pinstripe Bowl8.3%
- Las Vegas Bowl7.6%
- Music City Bowl5.9%
Recruiting Pipelines
since 2010Of the 170 high-school programs with a pipeline page here, 14 have sent Washington a player since 2010 — 54 signees between them. Where they signed, not where they were offered, and not a complete list of Washington's feeder schools: only these 170 have the outcome history to measure.