D'Vaughn Pennamon is a Versatile TE for Ole Miss. D'Vaughn's 2017 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 52 plays — a developing rate for the TE.
What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025
How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.
- Usage share (volume)0.42Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
- EPA per play (efficiency)0.04Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
- Total EPA (value)0.46Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons
Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So D'Vaughn Pennamon's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.
2017 Production
Performance Analysis · 2017 · vs TE peers
- Efficiency0
- Volume24
- Explosiveness9
- Consistency0
- Pass-Down13
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs TE peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.23 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 0.74 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Texas A&M (SP+ 9).
Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.15
- Passing downs
- -0.08
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.07 / 0.13
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Career · rolling EPA, game by game
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.