#1D'Eriq King

QB·Miami·2020 20189.7 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

D'Eriq King is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Miami. D'Eriq's 2020 season ranks in the 57th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 438 plays — a average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So D'Eriq King's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2020 Production

Passing

211/329 Comp/Att2686 Pass yards23 Pass TD5 INT64.1% Comp %

Rushing

538 Rush yards4 Rush TD130 Carries4.1 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2020 · vs QB peers

Efficiency57
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency85
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)57th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency85th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.67 EPA/play in Wk 14 vs Duke (SP+ -4).

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.5	323.0
Tanner Mordecai	SMU	2021	510	0.630	14.0	321.5
Ryan Higgins	Louisiana Tech	2016	571	0.586	13.7	334.6
Kyle McCord	Syracuse	2024	632	0.509	12.1	321.4
Trace McSorley	Penn State	2017	626	0.513	12.7	321.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
2	vsUAB	W31-14	6.3	16/24	144	1	0	83	1	0.48
3	@Louisville	W47-34	6.5	18/30	325	3	0	9	0	0.52
4	vsFlorida State	W52-10	-4.9	29/40	267	2	0	65	0	0.45
6	@Clemson	L17-42	26.1	12/28	121	0	2	84	1	-0.01
7	vsPittsburgh	W31-19	6.0	16/31	222	4	2	32	0	0.34
8	vsVirginia	W19-14	0.9	21/30	322	1	0	28	0	0.36
10	@NC State	W44-41	0.0	31/41	430	5	0	105	0	0.49
11	@Virginia Tech	W25-24	13.7	24/38	255	1	0	15	1	0.17
14	@Duke	W48-0	-4.2	16/24	248	3	0	46	1	0.67
15	vsNorth Carolina	L26-62	18.0	18/30	239	2	1	53	0	0.52
1	vsOklahoma State	L34-37	14.2	10/13	113	1	0	18	0	0.18

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

57.4%

Passing plays

86.9%

Rushing plays

26.5%

Standard downs

48.9%

Passing downs

73.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.23
Passing downs: 0.57
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.36 / 0.45

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2018 — 2020 · 22 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2018	Houston	14.0	0.651	—	307.4
2020	Miami	9.7	0.503	-0.15	244.0

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.