#8Cole Gautsche

TE·New Mexico·20131.0 pts line value1st Round

Cole Gautsche is a Workhorse Receiver TE for New Mexico. Cole's 2013 season ranks in the 67th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 165 plays — a average rate for the TE.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.42
Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
Total EPA (value)0.46
Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Cole Gautsche's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2013 Production

Passing

35/78 Comp/Att639 Pass yards7 Pass TD4 INT44.9% Comp %

Rushing

777 Rush yards8 Rush TD118 Carries6.6 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2013 · vs TE peers

Efficiency67
Volume90
Explosiveness22
Consistency78
Pass-Down100

Player type

Workhorse Receiver TE

The primary target in the offense — used across all situations and down-types at an elite volume.

Top target shareAll-down utilityOffense runs through this player

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)67th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency78th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used TEs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.14 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.52 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs New Mexico State (SP+ -35).

Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Johnny Langan	Rutgers	2019	117	0.240	0.0	28.1
Heinrich Haarberg	Nebraska	2023	112	0.260	0.6	29.1
Gino Campiotti	Massachusetts	2022	97	0.220	0.7	21.3
Connor Blumrick	Texas A&M	2021	106	0.230	0.0	24.4
Kaden Feagin	Illinois	2023	98	0.180	0.0	17.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · EPA per play, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	EPA/play	Pass	Rush
1	vsUTSA	L13-21	-6.6	0.20	-0.36	0.57
3	@Pittsburgh	L27-49	9.4	0.15	-0.96	0.31
5	vsUNLV	L42-56	-10.1	0.26	-0.03	0.40
6	vsNew Mexico State	W66-17	-35.1	0.52	-0.05	0.68
7	@Wyoming	L31-38	-15.3	0.23	0.29	0.12
8	vsUtah State	L10-45	4.2	0.29	0.92	-0.34
10	@San Diego State	L30-35	-4.8	0.06	-0.05	0.20
11	vsAir Force	W45-37	-16.9	0.31	-0.99	0.47
12	vsColorado State	L42-66	3.0	-0.09	0.26	-0.31

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

31.6%

Passing plays

52.7%

Rushing plays

25.4%

Standard downs

29.2%

Passing downs

37.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.08
Passing downs: 0.41
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.05 / 0.31

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2013 · 9 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.