#25Bo Jackson

RB·Ohio State·2025

Bo Jackson is a Explosive Back for Ohio State. Bo's 2025 season ranks in the 8th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 178 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Bo Jackson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

1090 Rush yards6 Rush TD179 Carries6.1 Yards/carry

Receiving

19 Receptions200 Rec yards1 Rec TD10.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency8
Volume68
Explosiveness62
Consistency66
Receiving38

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)8th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency66th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.10 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.98 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Grambling.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
2	vsGrambling	W70-0	—	9	108	12.0	1	—	—	—	0.98
3	vsOhio	W37-9	-4.0	9	109	12.1	0	2	21	0	0.41
5	@Washington	W24-6	18.4	17	80	4.7	0	1	5	0	-0.07
6	vsMinnesota	W42-3	1.5	13	63	4.8	1	1	11	0	0.08
7	@Illinois	W34-16	12.9	10	47	4.7	0	2	20	1	0.14
8	@Wisconsin	W34-0	-4.4	10	26	2.6	0	5	57	0	0.22
10	vsPenn State	W38-14	18.1	13	105	8.1	0	—	—	—	0.19
11	@Purdue	W34-10	-6.1	14	75	5.4	0	1	10	0	0.25
12	vsUCLA	W48-10	-8.7	15	112	7.5	1	—	—	—	0.50
13	vsRutgers	W42-9	1.0	19	110	5.8	2	1	14	0	0.11
14	@Michigan	W27-9	12.4	22	117	5.3	0	4	49	0	0.11
15	vsIndiana	L10-13	32.4	17	83	4.9	0	2	13	0	-0.01
20	vsMiami	L14-24	20.7	11	55	5.0	1	—	—	—	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

23.8%

Passing plays

5.0%

Rushing plays

42.6%

Standard downs

25.2%

Passing downs

18.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.07
Passing downs: 0.52
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.83 / 0.07

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).