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Bert Emanuel Jr.
Bert Emanuel Jr.

#5Bert Emanuel Jr.

Bert Emanuel Jr. is a Versatile WR for San Diego State.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

22%
projected
band 4%'25 4%40%

Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Bert Emanuel Jr.'s projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2022

3-Star · Developmental
Stars
247 composite
0.8663
National rank
#855
High school
Fort Bend Ridge Point
Hometown
Missouri City, TX

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2026 Production

Receiving
2 Receptions10 Rec yards0 Rec TD5.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2026 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency17
  • Volume10
  • Explosiveness0
  • Consistency50
  • Pass-Down50
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)17th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs WR peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.

NIL Market Tier· 2026

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Amare JonesTulane0.1800.012.8
Brandon ChatmanNavy0.2300.612.0
Amare JonesTulane0.2300.813.3
Tyler BuchnerNotre Dame0.2500.312.8
Justin LynchTemple0.2400.315.1

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsPortland StateW53-20
2@UCLAL10-289.22105.0070.07

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
3.5%
Passing plays
10.0%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
5.4%
Passing downs
0.0%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.07
Passing downs
Pass / Rush EPA
0.07 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+0.710−0.03
EPA per play · 2022 · 3 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.