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Panthers at Oilers
NHL

Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸5
Edmonton Oilers
2
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Bennett's goal at 18:06 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were FLA 19, EDM 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Calvin Pickard stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (2 G), 2. Eetu Luostarinen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sam Bennett (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    B. Marchand2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    E. Luostarinen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA280536519
EDMEDM0308210221

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    B. Marchand(9)
    A. Lundell (11)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:12
  2. FLA
    S. Bennett(15)
    M. Tkachuk (15)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    18:06

3rd period

  1. FLA
    B. Marchand(10)
    E. Luostarinen (13)
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-0
    5:12
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(7)
    E. Bouchard (16), M. Ekholm (5)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:24
  3. FLA
    S. Reinhart(7)
    A. Barkov (14)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-1
    8:10
  4. EDM
    C. Perry(10)
    L. Draisaitl (22), D. Nurse (5)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-2
    16:47
  5. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(5)EN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.38win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    18:41

Penalties

FLA 6 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:44FLASeth Jones · Interferencedrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 18:17EDMVasily Podkolzin · Trippingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min

2nd

  • 3:17FLAAaron Ekblad · Trippingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 7:28FLASam Reinhart · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:40EDMLeon Draisaitl · High stickingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalFLA goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Bennett, 1st 18:06 — FLA 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.21C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.17E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.16C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.11C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.11C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.10C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.08C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.07A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.02C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.00T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.00J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.00M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 1.7 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsEDM
3.04 G
All situations
2 G1.7
2.04 G
Even strength
2 G0.8
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA61%39%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 1.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsEDM
19
Shots on goal
21
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
31
Hits
25
17
Blocked shots
16
14
Giveaways
15
1
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD000+100.00010—25:01
5A. EkbladD000+220.02732—24:14
13S. ReinhartC101-110.261125020:35
3S. JonesD000010.08112—20:26
16A. BarkovC011000.001106119:31
9S. BennettC101+130.564202017:31
88N. SchmidtD000+100.03000—17:01
77N. MikkolaD000+100.00220—16:55
23C. VerhaegheC000+210.25300016:40
7D. KulikovD000+100.00210—15:57
27E. LuostarinenC112+120.57010015:56
15A. LundellC011+220.020005714:41
19M. TkachukL011010.13300—14:34
17E. RodriguesC000+110.142305614:32
63B. MarchandL202+350.88100—13:55
92T. NosekL000000.022005010:02
12J. GadjovichL000000.00010—08:35
10A. GreerL000000.01200—07:54
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)21192.9051.75-0.2560:00

Series

FLA leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).