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Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers

Final/OTTV TNT, truTV·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Florida Panthers 4-3 in overtime, Leon Draisaitl scoring at 19:29. The Oilers came back from two goals down. The Panthers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 19:29 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.8 to 3.3; shots on goal were FLA 32, EDM 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 42 of 46 (.913), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (2 G), 2. Sam Bennett (2 G), 3. Kasperi Kapanen (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett2 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    K. Kapanen2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA271170206332
EDMEDM11418114110446

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.49win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:06
  2. FLA
    deflectedxG 0.21win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:49
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:30

2nd period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.18win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    2:00
  2. EDM
    slapxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:17

3rd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.12win prob +29 ptsVideo
    3-3
    6:33

Overtime

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.20win prob +48 ptsVideo
    3-4
    19:29

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:53EDMCorey Perry · High stickingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 10:49EDMserved by C. Perry · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 12:40FLAAnton Lundell · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 12:46EDMCorey Perry · Trippingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 13:04FLAAaron Ekblad · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

2nd

  • 18:47FLAEvan Rodrigues · High stickingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

OT

  • 18:17FLATomas Nosek · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalFLA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, OT 19:29 — EDM 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.49L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.28C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.24K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.22E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.21K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.20L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.20C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.18E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.17T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.17V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.16V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.15C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.14E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.14J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.13M. Ekholm · Goal · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.09C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.08T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.00L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.00C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.00J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.00V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 4.8 xG · 66 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsEDM
3.33 G
All situations
4 G4.8
3.12 G
Even strength
3 G3.3
0.21 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 125 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA30%70%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.25 – 4.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsEDM
32
Shots on goal
46
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
51
Hits
51
19
Blocked shots
21
14
Giveaways
16
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000-210.09532—33:02
42G. ForslingD000-210.03310—32:35
3S. JonesD000+140.28210—30:11
13S. ReinhartC000-130.262304329:09
16A. BarkovC000-120.434206426:44
77N. MikkolaD000+100.07420—26:12
23C. VerhaegheC022000.282005023:30
17E. RodriguesC011020.07302023:03
19M. TkachukL011030.06210—22:54
9S. BennettC202050.772006022:52
27E. LuostarinenC000-130.57330021:09
63B. MarchandL101030.11100—20:29
15A. LundellC000020.093225019:29
7D. KulikovD000000.00710—18:14
88N. SchmidtD022020.12100—17:18
92T. NosekL000010.042025609:20
70J. BoqvistC000000.0110010007:58
12J. GadjovichL000000.00400—06:04
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)46424.9134.80+0.8079:29

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).