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Oilers at Panthers
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
Florida Panthers
4
Final/OTTV TNT, truTV·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Florida Panthers 5-4 in overtime, Leon Draisaitl scoring at 11:18. The Oilers came back from three goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 11:18 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals were close — EDM 3.9, FLA 3.7; shots on goal were EDM 35, FLA 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 22 of 23 (.957); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 2 A), 2. Sam Reinhart (1 G, 2 A), 3. Matthew Tkachuk (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM073171714535
FLAFLA3170101904440

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(6)PPG
    A. Barkov (12)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:40
  2. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(7)PPG
    S. Reinhart (11), A. Barkov (13)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:56
  3. FLA
    A. Lundell(6)
    C. Verhaeghe (13), S. Reinhart (12)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    19:18

2nd period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(6)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (20), C. McDavid (26)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    3:33
  2. EDM
    D. Nurse(3)
    M. Ekholm (3), A. Henrique (3)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:47
  3. EDM
    V. Podkolzin(2)
    D. Nurse (4), L. Draisaitl (21)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-3
    15:05

3rd period

  1. EDM
    J. Walman(2)
    K. Kapanen (3), R. Nugent-Hopkins (14)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +37 ptsVideo
    4-3
    13:36
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(6)
    M. Tkachuk (14), S. Bennett (7)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +46 ptsVideo
    4-4
    19:40

Overtime

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(11)
    V. Podkolzin (7), M. Ekholm (4)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +52 ptsVideo
    5-4
    11:18

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:38EDMEvander Kane · High stickingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 11:36EDMDarnell Nurse · Trippingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 15:18EDMMattias Ekholm · High stickingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min

2nd

  • 3:14FLASam Bennett · Slashingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 6:29FLADmitry Kulikov · Holding the stickdrawn by Vasily Podkolzin2 min
  • 12:57FLAAleksander Barkov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:28EDMLeon Draisaitl · Elbowingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min

3rd

  • 7:34FLASam Bennett · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalEDM goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, OT 11:18 — EDM 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.25A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.23C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.19M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.16S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.15B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.14C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lundell · Goal · xG 0.14S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.13M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.13S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.11A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.10E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.10B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gadjovich · Missed · xG 0.08E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.07E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.05S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.05E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.05A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.04S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.03B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.03N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.00G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 3.7 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsFLA
3.95 G
All situations
4 G3.7
2.54 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
1.41 G
Power play
2 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 114 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM52%48%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.72 – 3.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsFLA
35
Shots on goal
40
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
34
28
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
11
0
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD000030.24020—30:38
97C. McDavidC011-140.390105029:40
14M. EkholmD022+230.09042—27:56
27B. KulakD000010.04040—27:26
29L. DraisaitlC123+140.552024725:21
25D. NurseD112+240.08042—24:50
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC112030.632105023:54
96J. WalmanD101+110.13470—22:32
28C. BrownR000-110.0611010022:17
19A. HenriqueC011+100.061005418:20
90C. PerryR000+240.49000—18:17
13M. JanmarkC000010.041005013:58
21T. FredericC000+120.27720013:46
91E. KaneL000-100.01112—13:42
53J. SkinnerL000+120.58010—12:33
92V. PodkolzinR112+220.19500—11:46
42K. KapanenR011+100.00100—08:36
51T. StecherD000-100.00000—04:18
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(W)23221.9571.42+0.4251:18
74S. Skinner17143.8242.28-0.7220:00

Series

FLA leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).