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Rangers at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
3
Carolina Hurricanes
▸7
FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Rangers 7-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jarvis's goal at 17:46 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 2.6; shots on goal were NYR 31, CAR 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.7 goals below expected; Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. Seth Jarvis (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jackson Blake (1 G, 1 A), 3. William Carrier (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Blake1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    W. Carrier1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR0519217331
CARCAR2721338728

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Chatfield(7)
    D. Orlov (21), S. Jarvis (33)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:02
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(32)
    S. Aho (44), J. Blake (17)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:46

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Blake(17)
    S. Jarvis (34), S. Aho (45)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    2:02
  2. CAR
    M. Jankowski(12)
    W. Carrier (6), T. Jost (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-4
    12:59
  3. NYR
    W. Cuylle(20)
    J. Miller (46)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-4
    19:43

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(13)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.16win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-5
    3:45
  2. NYR
    J. Miller(21)PPG
    V. Trocheck (32), A. Panarin (51)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    6:07
  3. NYR
    A. Fox(10)
    A. Panarin (52), V. Trocheck (33)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-5
    9:02
  4. CAR
    J. Martinook(15)EN
    J. Staal (23)
    snapxG 0.49win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-6
    16:27
  5. CAR
    L. Stankoven(14)EN
    J. Slavin (21)
    slapxG 0.45Video
    3-7
    17:59

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

2nd

  • 17:28NYRMatt Rempe · Slashingdrawn by Eric Robinson2 min

3rd

  • 5:06CARTyson Jost · Hookingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min
  • 9:02CARJordan Martinook · Roughingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 9:02NYRVincent Trocheck · Cross checkingdrawn by Sean Walker2 min
  • 9:02CARserved by J. Blake · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYR goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Seth Jarvis, 1st 17:46 — CAR 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.49L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.46L. Stankoven · Goal · xG 0.45J. Blake · Goal · xG 0.16S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.16S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.16J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.16S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.16J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.13T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.09M. Jankowski · Goal · xG 0.09L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.07J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.07L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.06S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.06L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.05S. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.05L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.05J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Goal · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.01M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.00S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR7 G · 3.7 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCAR
2.63 G
All situations
5 G3.7
1.72 G
Even strength
5 G2.2
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR55%45%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 2.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCAR
31
Shots on goal
28
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
16
10
Blocked shots
13
19
Giveaways
19
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD101030.15300—23:19
10A. PanarinL022-330.11000—22:16
79K. MillerD000000.00340—21:48
16V. TrocheckC022-340.572127120:23
8J. MillerC112-360.551005320:03
93M. ZibanejadC000-410.100003319:48
4B. SchneiderD000-300.00210—19:37
17W. BorgenD000-200.00200—18:06
18U. VaakanainenD000-210.13000—17:10
50W. CuylleL101-120.09210—16:54
13A. LafrenièreL000+120.25000—16:17
24C. SoucyD000-110.02110—14:54
39S. CarrickC000-110.091005013:01
22J. BrodzinskiC000-220.25010012:57
65B. BerardL000-140.13100—12:46
20C. KreiderL000-100.00000—10:31
73M. RempeC000-110.16202010:00
71J. ParssinenC000000.003102509:47
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)26215.8082.28-2.7258:23

Season series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).