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Hurricanes at Rangers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
New York Rangers
1
FinalTV NHLN, FDSNSO·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Rangers 3-1. The Rangers scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Roslovic's goal at 14:32 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 49% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 5.2 to 2.7; shots on goal were CAR 33, NYR 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Roslovic (1 G), 2. William Carrier (1 G), 3. Igor Shesterkin (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Roslovic1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    W. Carrier1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR0721719333
NYRNYR1508010123

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    J. Vesey(3)
    C. Ruhwedel (1), A. Edstrom (2)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:17

2nd period

  1. CAR
    W. Carrier(4)
    J. Slavin (9), J. Staal (10)
    wristxG 0.68win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:14
  2. CAR
    J. Roslovic(14)PPG
    D. Orlov (13), P. Kochetkov (2)
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:32

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(10)EN
    A. Svechnikov (14), P. Kochetkov (3)
    wristxG 0.81win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:18

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·NYR 10 PIM

1st

  • 11:05CARTyson Jost · Trippingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 19:32NYRAdam Fox · Interferencedrawn by Martin Necas2 min

2nd

  • 7:05NYRBrett Berard · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:34NYRAlexis Lafrenière · High sticking double minordrawn by Jack Roslovic4 min
  • 19:39CARAndrei Svechnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

3rd

  • 4:25CARBrent Burns · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 7:47NYRVincent Trocheck · Hookingdrawn by Eric Robinson2 min
  • 18:30CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCAR goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Jack Roslovic, 2nd 14:32 — CAR 49% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.31J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.22B. Berard · On goal · xG 0.18A. Edstrom · On goal · xG 0.17A. Edstrom · On goal · xG 0.16C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.13R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.13A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.12V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.12B. Berard · On goal · xG 0.10B. Berard · On goal · xG 0.09S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.09J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.05B. Berard · Missed · xG 0.05J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.04A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.02B. Berard · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR1 G · 2.7 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNYR
5.22 G
All situations
1 G2.7
2.61 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
1.61 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR74%26%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.05 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNYR
33
Shots on goal
23
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/5
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
26
Hits
33
14
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20S. AhoC101+121.010204723:46
24S. JarvisR000+110.371006723:39
8B. BurnsD000+130.12022—20:28
5J. ChatfieldD000030.03220—20:05
7D. OrlovD011000.09020—19:56
74J. SlavinD011+110.20110—19:36
4S. GostisbehereD000030.21000—18:10
11J. StaalC011010.195105217:47
88M. NecasC000010.181003317:27
37A. SvechnikovR011050.80102—16:22
48J. MartinookL000020.0700210016:22
26S. WalkerD000040.24100—13:14
28W. CarrierL101+110.86410—12:59
82J. KotkaniemiC000000.242006712:34
96J. RoslovicC101040.31410012:16
53J. BlakeR000010.16000—09:39
50E. RobinsonL000000.01000—09:28
27T. JostC000010.124223308:42
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(W)23221.9572.65+1.6560:00

Season series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).