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Oilers at Ducks
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
2
Anaheim Ducks
▸3
FinalTV Victory+, KCOP-13·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2. The Oilers scored first; the Ducks answered. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cutter Gauthier's goal at 7:10 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were EDM 47, ANA 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Olivier Rodrigue stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.1 goals below expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 45 of 47 (.957), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cutter Gauthier (2 G), 2. Lukas Dostal (45 saves, .957), 3. Mason McTavish (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    C. Gauthier2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    L. Dostal45 saves, .957
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    M. McTavish1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM11409124247
ANAANA062718321

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    A. Henrique(11)
    J. Walman (33), C. Perry (10)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    17:51

2nd period

  1. ANA
    C. Gauthier(16)
    L. Carlsson (21)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:20
  2. ANA
    C. Gauthier(17)
    D. Helleson (9), I. Lundestrom (11)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:10

3rd period

  1. ANA
    M. McTavish(21)
    T. Zegras (19)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    5:33
  2. EDM
    J. Skinner(16)
    E. Bouchard (50), A. Henrique (12)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:29

Penalties

EDM 12 PIM·ANA 28 PIM

1st

  • 0:41EDMVasily Podkolzin · High stickingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 0:54ANAFrank Vatrano · Slashingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 15:23ANAFrank Vatrano · Holdingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min

2nd

  • 3:31EDMVasily Podkolzin · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 19:57ANARyan Strome · Cross checkingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 19:57ANARyan Strome · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
  • 19:57EDMMattias Janmark · Roughingdrawn by Drew Helleson2 min
  • 19:57ANAFrank Vatrano · Roughingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 19:57EDMKasperi Kapanen · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 19:57ANADrew Helleson · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 19:57ANARyan Strome · Misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 2:09EDMAdam Henrique · Roughingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 3:15ANADrew Helleson · Trippingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 7:11ANAOliver Kylington · Cross checkingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 10:36EDMMax Jones · Roughingdrawn by Drew Helleson2 min
  • 10:36ANADrew Helleson · Roughingdrawn by Max Jones2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalEDM goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Cutter Gauthier, 2nd 7:10 — ANA 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.23T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.17C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.16F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.14M. McTavish · Goal · xG 0.12J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.12C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.12A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.10R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.09T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.09A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.06L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.05M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.05O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.04O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.03R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.03S. Colangelo · On goal · xG 0.03T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.03R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.02T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.02A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.02P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 1.9 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsANA
3.82 G
All situations
3 G1.9
1.92 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
1.80 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM79%21%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.74 – 1.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsANA
47
Shots on goal
21
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/6
Power play
0/2
12
Penalty minutes
28
16
Hits
10
12
Blocked shots
16
14
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD011-250.52020—24:30
96J. WalmanD011+150.07020—23:23
25D. NurseD000+150.29010—22:40
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000070.390104722:38
18Z. HymanL000+150.7720010022:32
27B. KulakD000-330.04010—20:27
19A. HenriqueC112+230.311027619:35
28C. BrownR000+130.62000—17:54
90C. PerryR011+210.1210010017:13
33V. ArvidssonL000020.190105015:45
53J. SkinnerL101020.163005015:42
92V. PodkolzinR000-110.03204—14:05
51T. StecherD000+130.10010—13:51
13M. JanmarkC000-100.000022512:54
49T. EmbersonD000000.03310—11:20
42K. KapanenR000-310.021125611:13
46M. JonesL000-310.13312—08:53
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35O. Rodrigue(L)21183.8571.91-1.0957:25

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).