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Ducks at Oilers
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
FinalTV Victory+, KCOP-13·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 18:25 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 52% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.3 to 2.3; shots on goal were ANA 29, EDM 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Stuart Skinner stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G), 2. Lukas Dostal (23 saves, .885), 3. Darnell Nurse (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    L. Dostal23 saves, .885
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    D. Nurse1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA01019110229
EDMEDM1719110326

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(9)PPG
    E. Bouchard (22)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:54

2nd period

  1. EDM
    D. Nurse(4)
    J. Skinner (7), C. Perry (6)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:57
  2. ANA
    B. Leason(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:32

3rd period

  1. ANA
    J. LaCombe(7)PPG
    R. Strome (14), L. Carlsson (6)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:53
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(28)
    Z. Hyman (9), D. Nurse (13)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +42 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:25

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:23ANAJacob Trouba · Cross checkingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 11:23EDMLeon Draisaitl · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 12:48EDMConnor McDavid · Interferencedrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min
  • 16:12ANAOlen Zellweger · High stickingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min

3rd

  • 6:19EDMAdam Henrique · Slashingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalANA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 3rd 18:25 — EDM 52% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.39Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.21L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.20Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.18V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.17V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.12V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.11A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.11C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.09C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.06D. Nurse · Goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.05M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.02T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.00T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 3.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsEDM
2.32 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.01 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA40%60%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 2.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsEDM
29
Shots on goal
26
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/2
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
3
12
Blocked shots
14
4
Giveaways
18
1
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD101050.15010—25:35
6B. DumoulinD000-130.19000—23:18
19T. TerryR000030.43000—20:47
65J. TroubaD000-120.02222—20:40
7R. GudasD000010.02320—19:50
16R. StromeC011000.000203219:01
17A. KillornL000010.01100—18:59
91L. CarlssonC011000.000105018:18
13R. FabbriC000010.14000017:29
77F. VatranoR000030.43010—17:02
23M. McTavishC000040.360104016:09
51O. ZellwegerD000000.00002—13:53
20B. LeasonR101010.13100—13:51
43D. HellesonD000030.05010—12:53
61C. GauthierL000+110.09000—12:26
21I. LundestromC000-200.130003812:06
38J. HarkinsC000-110.1640010008:37
44R. JohnstonL000-100.00310—08:03
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)26233.8852.88-0.1258:21

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).