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Oilers at Ducks
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
3
Anaheim Ducks
▸5
FinalTV Victory+, KCOP-13·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-3. The Ducks came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Strome's goal at 17:24 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 52% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were EDM 23, ANA 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.8 goals below expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cutter Gauthier (1 G, 1 A), 2. Robby Fabbri (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mason McTavish (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    C. Gauthier1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Fabbri1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    M. McTavish1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM2518010323
ANAANA1621729532

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(25)PPG
    C. McDavid (36), E. Bouchard (20)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:03
  2. EDM
    E. Bouchard(7)
    V. Arvidsson (5), C. Brown (10)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    11:49
  3. ANA
    C. Gauthier(5)
    J. LaCombe (7)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:52

2nd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(26)PPG
    C. McDavid (37), Z. Hyman (8)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-1
    9:10
  2. ANA
    D. Helleson(2)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.01win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    12:19
  3. ANA
    R. Fabbri(5)
    M. McTavish (11), C. Gauthier (11)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-3
    17:33

3rd period

  1. ANA
    R. Strome(6)
    T. Terry (17)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +41 ptsVideo
    3-4
    17:24
  2. ANA
    M. McTavish(5)EN
    R. Fabbri (4)
    snapxG 0.46win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-5
    19:08

Penalties

EDM 12 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:00EDMCorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Ross Johnston2 min
  • 7:00ANARoss Johnston · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 7:36ANAJacob Trouba · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 9:41EDMViktor Arvidsson · Trippingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min
  • 18:41EDMTroy Stecher · High sticking double minordrawn by Alex Killorn4 min

2nd

  • 5:11EDMTroy Stecher · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 8:07ANATroy Terry · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 18:57ANARobby Fabbri · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

3rd

  • 1:48EDMTroy Stecher · Trippingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalEDM goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Strome, 3rd 17:24 — ANA 52% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.66M. McTavish · Goal · xG 0.46T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.18F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.16R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.16T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.15F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.15R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.14L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.13R. Fabbri · Goal · xG 0.13J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.13R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.13R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.12J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.11L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.10R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.10C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.09R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.09R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.08R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.08M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.07I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.07L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Leason · Missed · xG 0.07C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.06B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.06J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.05J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.03P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.01M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.01D. Helleson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Helleson · Goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA5 G · 4.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsANA
2.13 G
All situations
4 G4.3
1.21 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.92 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM33%67%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsANA
23
Shots on goal
32
40%
Faceoffs
60%
2/3
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
13
Hits
26
14
Blocked shots
13
8
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27B. KulakD000-220.02120—22:41
14M. EkholmD000030.11000—22:33
2E. BouchardD112030.08010—22:13
29L. DraisaitlC202-240.620004521:32
97C. McDavidC022-320.320004321:20
25D. NurseD000-330.19130—21:18
18Z. HymanL011-210.42100—17:53
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-100.090207517:23
49T. EmbersonD000-110.04520—16:58
13M. JanmarkC000010.00100013:44
28C. BrownR011000.00000—13:31
19A. HenriqueC000000.011102912:57
92V. PodkolzinR000-100.09110—12:35
33V. ArvidssonL011+110.10002—12:27
42K. KapanenR000-200.00100—11:40
51T. StecherD000-220.07008—11:08
90C. PerryR000-100.0000210009:40
10D. RyanC000-200.001204008:23
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(L)31274.8713.16-0.8458:04

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).