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Avalanche at Blues
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
4
St. Louis Blues
▸5
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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-4. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Neighbours's goal at 7:41 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.7 to 2.8; shots on goal were COL 39, STL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.3 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 35 of 39 (.897). Three stars: 1. Robert Thomas (1 G, 3 A), 2. Zachary Bolduc (2 G), 3. Cam Fowler (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    Z. Bolduc2 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    C. Fowler3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL01728214439
STLSTL2122416522

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    Z. Bolduc(17)PPG
    R. Thomas (52), C. Fowler (27)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:49
  2. STL
    J. Neighbours(22)
    R. Thomas (53)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:41

2nd period

  1. STL
    P. Buchnevich(17)
    J. Snuggerud (2)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    1:01
  2. STL
    Z. Bolduc(18)PPG
    R. Thomas (54), C. Fowler (28)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-4
    8:53
  3. COL
    R. Colton(16)
    L. O'Connor (10)
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-4
    15:32
  4. COL
    M. Wood(4)
    C. Coyle (12)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-4
    17:45

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(32)
    B. Nelson (30), C. Makar (61)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-4
    17:42
  2. STL
    R. Thomas(21)EN
    C. Fowler (29)
    wristxG 0.50win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-5
    19:29
  3. COL
    S. Malinski(4)
    D. Toews (34)
    wristxG 0.06Video
    4-5
    19:51

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:31COLJoel Kiviranta · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 4:42STLJustin Faulk · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 14:27STLRyan Suter · Slashingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
  • 18:07STLOskar Sundqvist · High stickingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min

2nd

  • 7:19COLArtturi Lehkonen · Hookingdrawn by Philip Broberg2 min
  • 13:14COLRoss Colton · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jordan Binnington2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCOL goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Neighbours, 1st 7:41 — STL 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.59R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.50J. Neighbours · Goal · xG 0.17P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.17Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Bolduc · Goal · xG 0.14J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.12J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.12J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Bolduc · Goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.06M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.05R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.03P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.02P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.01M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00
STL5 G · 2.8 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSTL
3.74 G
All situations
4 G2.8
2.14 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
1.60 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL81%19%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.66 – 1.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSTL
39
Shots on goal
22
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
21
13
Blocked shots
20
16
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011-120.26140—27:32
29N. MacKinnonC101-270.411004725:29
13V. NichushkinR000-160.56300—24:26
7D. ToewsD011-110.03110—23:14
62A. LehkonenL000-140.46222—22:01
11B. NelsonC011-110.240003819:37
55R. LindgrenD000010.01310—18:41
70S. MalinskiD101+210.06010—17:32
10C. CoyleC011020.132008617:31
6E. JohnsonD000+110.00110—15:02
20R. ColtonC101+140.49202013:30
18J. DruryC000+110.094004513:05
28M. WoodL101+120.38300—12:48
67K. MiddletonD000+120.02100—10:50
94J. KivirantaL000+200.00102—10:30
25L. O'ConnorR011+230.58100—09:46
17P. KellyC000+210.01220009:17
26J. VeseyL000000.00010—07:55
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(L)21174.8101.74-2.2657:22

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).