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Blues at Avalanche
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
0
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV FDSNMW, ALT2·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 5-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Necas's goal at 7:39 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.7 to 1.7; shots on goal were STL 19, COL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 2.3 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Drouin (2 G, 1 A), 2. Martin Necas (1 G), 3. Mackenzie Blackwood (19 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    J. Drouin2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Necas1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Blackwood19 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL060805019
COLCOL4210916536

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    J. Drouin(5)
    J. Parssinen (6), K. Middleton (2)
    batxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:57
  2. COL
    M. Necas(17)
    D. Toews (18), A. Lehkonen (9)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:39
  3. COL
    J. Drouin(6)PPG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.12win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    14:43
  4. COL
    C. Makar(19)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (60), J. Drouin (14)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    17:25

3rd period

  1. COL
    J. Kiviranta(11)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10Video
    0-5
    13:21

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:01STLRobert Thomas · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 16:23STLBrayden Schenn · Roughingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

2nd

  • 3:08COLKeaton Middleton · Slashingdrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min
  • 19:15STLAlexandre Texier · High stickingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

3rd

  • 7:59COLJoel Kiviranta · Slashingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min
  • 10:20STLMathieu Joseph · Trippingdrawn by Sam Malinski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSTL goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Martin Necas, 1st 7:39 — COL 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Drouin · Goal · xG 0.16N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.16M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.16N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.12J. Drouin · Goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.11R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.10J. Kiviranta · Goal · xG 0.10C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.09J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.08J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.08M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.08M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.07C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.07J. Parssinen · Missed · xG 0.06C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.05C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.04L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.03S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.03S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02K. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01K. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01K. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.00S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 2.7 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCOL
1.70 G
All situations
5 G2.7
1.30 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL31%69%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.67 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCOL
19
Shots on goal
36
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
37
Hits
15
13
Blocked shots
11
14
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17C. FowlerD000-100.20110—23:34
6P. BrobergD000020.04000—22:10
72J. FaulkD000-100.05140—20:15
89P. BuchnevichL000-120.28100—19:23
18R. ThomasC000-100.051124718:38
22R. SuterD000-100.00000—18:29
9A. TexierL000-210.15102—18:05
81D. HollowayL000010.05200—16:55
75T. TuckerD000-110.03310—16:43
10B. SchennC000010.084026716:41
25J. KyrouR000030.13000—15:52
51M. KesselD000-210.02110—15:26
12R. FaksaC000-200.075104215:12
71M. JosephR000030.1292210012:46
13A. ToropchenkoR000020.14300—12:03
63J. NeighboursL000-100.1001010011:42
26N. WalkerL000010.133107810:14
76Z. BolducR000-210.06200—10:08
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(L)36315.8612.69-2.3160:00

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).