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Avalanche at Blues
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
1
St. Louis Blues
▸3
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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-1. The Avalanche scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Colton Parayko's goal at 14:13 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were COL 29, STL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 22 of 25 (.880); Jordan Binnington stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Justin Faulk (2 A), 2. Nathan Walker, 3. Brayden Schenn (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Faulk2 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    N. Walker
  3. ★★★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL1808013129
STLSTL083908325

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    D. Toews(7)
    C. Makar (42), A. Lehkonen (11)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:49

2nd period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(12)
    J. Kyrou (22), J. Faulk (18)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:45
  2. STL
    C. Parayko(13)
    P. Buchnevich (26), R. Thomas (30)
    wristxG 0.48win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:13
  3. STL
    D. Holloway(17)
    J. Faulk (19), J. Kyrou (23)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:50

Penalties

COL 7 PIM·STL 9 PIM

1st

  • 2:47STLNathan Walker · Fightingdrawn by Parker Kelly5 min
  • 2:47COLParker Kelly · Fightingdrawn by Nathan Walker5 min
  • 12:49COLLogan O'Connor · Cross checkingdrawn by Nathan Walker2 min
  • 12:49STLNathan Walker · Roughingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

2nd

  • 7:50STLPavel Buchnevich · Hookingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCOL goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Colton Parayko, 2nd 14:13 — STL 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.49J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.29B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.24B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.18J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.17J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.15D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.15A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.14R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.13B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.12D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.11D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.09D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.08N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.08J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.08A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.07D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.05R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.01P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.01P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.01A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 2.9 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSTL
1.81 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.41 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL28%72%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.77 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSTL
29
Shots on goal
25
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/1
Power play
0/0
7
Penalty minutes
9
18
Hits
20
11
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011-140.16120—23:45
7D. ToewsD101-240.27010—23:18
49S. GirardD000-110.03030—22:21
88M. NecasC000000.02110022:03
70S. MalinskiD000010.03210—21:17
29N. MacKinnonC000030.250005320:48
62A. LehkonenL011010.04000—20:37
37C. MittelstadtC000-120.171003818:49
27J. DrouinL000-110.09000—17:44
18J. DruryC000-210.070106015:16
44C. de HaanD000030.03100—14:05
58O. KylingtonD000000.00010—13:31
20R. ColtonC000-220.1760010013:25
28M. WoodL000030.39300—12:14
16J. ParssinenC000010.03210012:10
94J. KivirantaL000000.0210010011:01
25L. O'ConnorR000000.00002—10:16
17P. KellyC000020.070053307:56
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(L)25223.8802.95-0.0557:24

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).