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Blue Jackets at Maple Leafs
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Toronto Maple Leafs

FinalTV FDSNOH, SN·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-0. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Robertson's goal at 12:28 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.8 to 1.4; shots on goal were CBJ 27, TOR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.2 goals below expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Stolarz (27 saves, 1.000), 2. Nick Robertson (2 G), 3. William Nylander (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Stolarz27 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TOR
    N. Robertson2 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ0110808027
TORTOR1816313527

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:03

2nd period

  1. TOR
    M. Domi (23)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:28

3rd period

  1. TOR
    M. Rielly (29), B. Carlo (10)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-3
    1:11
  2. TOR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-4
    4:21
  3. TOR
    M. Marner (70), M. Knies (26)
    wristxG 0.38Video
    0-5
    16:27

Penalties

CBJ 14 PIM·TOR 14 PIM

1st

  • 12:33TORScott Laughton · Cross checkingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min

2nd

  • 6:41CBJSean Kuraly · Fightingdrawn by Steven Lorentz5 min
  • 6:41TORSteven Lorentz · Fightingdrawn by Sean Kuraly5 min

3rd

  • 3:25TORMatthew Knies · Roughingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
  • 3:25CBJDante Fabbro · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min
  • 8:59TORSimon Benoit · Fightingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier5 min
  • 8:59CBJMathieu Olivier · Fightingdrawn by Simon Benoit5 min
  • 9:52CBJElvis Merzlikins · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalCBJ goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Robertson, 2nd 12:28 — TOR 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.38J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.20W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.19M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.17M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.14M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.14A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.11W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.11A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.10W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.09N. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.09N. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.08J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.08A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.08M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.07M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.07W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.05S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.04M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.04S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.04P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.03B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.03W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.01N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR5 G · 2.8 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsTOR
1.40 G
All situations
5 G2.8
1.20 G
Even strength
5 G2.4
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ24%76%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.35 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsTOR
27
Shots on goal
27
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/1
Power play
0/1
14
Penalty minutes
14
18
Hits
24
15
Blocked shots
14
17
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000-350.20110—23:49
9I. ProvorovD000-300.02110—20:20
15D. FabbroD000-230.02032—20:04
38B. JennerC000-420.01200019:08
19A. FantilliC000-330.212004318:48
44E. GudbransonD000-110.02110—18:48
5D. MateychukD000000.06020—18:13
3J. JohnsonD000-110.02210—17:15
91K. JohnsonC000-100.04000016:45
86K. MarchenkoR000-120.280005016:35
23S. MonahanC000030.121106015:34
4C. SillingerC000010.150003015:27
21J. van RiemsdykL000-210.04110—14:53
24M. OlivierR000000.00315—13:37
10D. VoronkovL000030.06110—13:35
17J. DanforthR000-100.001206712:01
7S. KuralyC000-110.0100510010:50
27Z. Aston-ReeseL000-110.09200—10:18
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)27225.8152.80-2.2060:00

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).