Columbus Blue Jackets at Toronto Maple Leafs
Recap
written from the game dataThe Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-0. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Robertson's goal at 12:28 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.8 to 1.4; shots on goal were CBJ 27, TOR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.2 goals below expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Stolarz (27 saves, 1.000), 2. Nick Robertson (2 G), 3. William Nylander (2 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Stolarz27 saves, 1.000

- ★★N. Robertson2 G

- ★★★W. Nylander2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-110:03
2nd period
0-212:28
3rd period
0-31:11
0-44:21
0-516:27
Penalties
1st
- 12:33
Scott Laughton · Cross checkingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
2nd
- 6:41
Sean Kuraly · Fightingdrawn by Steven Lorentz5 min
- 6:41
Steven Lorentz · Fightingdrawn by Sean Kuraly5 min
3rd
- 3:25
Matthew Knies · Roughingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
- 3:25
Dante Fabbro · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min
- 8:59
Simon Benoit · Fightingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier5 min
- 8:59
Mathieu Olivier · Fightingdrawn by Simon Benoit5 min
- 9:52
Elvis Merzlikins · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nick Robertson, 2nd 12:28 — 72% → 88%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.40 G
- All situations
- 5 G2.8
- 1.20 G
- Even strength
- 5 G2.4
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.35 – 2.70
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 42%
- Faceoffs
- 58%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/1
- 14
- Penalty minutes
- 14
- 18
- Hits
- 24
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 17
- Giveaways
- 15
- 5
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
