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Maple Leafs at Blue Jackets
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸6
FinalTV FDSNOH, TSN4·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 6-2. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Danforth's goal at 6:21 of the first period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals were close — TOR 3.1, CBJ 3.2; shots on goal were TOR 28, CBJ 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Dennis Hildeby stopped 32 of 38 (.842), 2.8 goals below expected; Daniil Tarasov stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mathieu Olivier (2 G), 2. Justin Danforth (1 G, 2 A), 3. Daniil Tarasov (26 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    M. Olivier2 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    J. Danforth1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    D. Tarasov26 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR0611319228
CBJCBJ31521419638

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    J. van Riemsdyk(2)
    I. Provorov (2), K. Labanc (3)
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:29
  2. CBJ
    J. Danforth(1)
    Z. Werenski (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:21
  3. CBJ
    M. Olivier(2)
    J. Danforth (1), J. Christiansen (4)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    12:42

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    S. Monahan(3)
    K. Marchenko (5), Z. Werenski (4)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    5:35
  2. CBJ
    M. Olivier(3)
    Z. Aston-Reese (1), J. Danforth (2)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-5
    11:36
  3. TOR
    M. Knies(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    18:59

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    K. Marchenko(3)
    S. Monahan (4), C. Sillinger (3)
    snapxG 0.12Video
    1-6
    11:58
  2. TOR
    N. Robertson(1)
    J. Tavares (2), S. Benoit (1)
    backhandxG 0.24Video
    2-6
    13:03

Penalties

TOR 12 PIM·CBJ 10 PIM

1st

  • 14:01TORMax Pacioretty · Hookingdrawn by Adam Fantilli2 min
  • 15:13CBJDamon Severson · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min

2nd

  • 6:45TORNick Robertson · Hookingdrawn by David Jiricek2 min
  • 6:45CBJDavid Jiricek · Embellishment2 min

3rd

  • 0:50CBJKirill Marchenko · Hookingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 5:46TORJohn Tavares · Trippingdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min
  • 9:19TORMax Domi · Roughingdrawn by Adam Fantilli2 min
  • 13:58TORRyan Reaves · Roughingdrawn by David Jiricek2 min
  • 13:58TORRyan Reaves · Roughingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier2 min
  • 13:58CBJMathieu Olivier · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min
  • 18:44CBJJack Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Steven Lorentz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalTOR goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Justin Danforth, 1st 6:21 — CBJ 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.32S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.24J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.20I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.18M. Olivier · Goal · xG 0.16K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.13S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.13M. Olivier · Goal · xG 0.13K. Marchenko · Goal · xG 0.12K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.11J. Danforth · Goal · xG 0.10Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.08S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.08S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.08E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.06J. Christiansen · On goal · xG 0.06K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.06A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.05K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.05S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.05A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.05E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.05S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.05E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Danforth · Missed · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.02E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Christiansen · Missed · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.01J. Christiansen · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.01K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.01K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.00D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.00D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.00
CBJ6 G · 3.2 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsCBJ
3.12 G
All situations
6 G3.2
2.72 G
Even strength
6 G2.6
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR49%51%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.04 – 3.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsCBJ
28
Shots on goal
38
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
0/4
12
Penalty minutes
10
22
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
14
16
Giveaways
19
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000-330.13310—21:33
22J. McCabeD000-100.00120—21:08
95O. Ekman-LarssonD000-310.09210—20:02
8C. TanevD000-300.00230—19:52
34A. MatthewsC000-320.410104219:51
16M. MarnerR000-350.66000—19:20
91J. TavaresC011+250.341025617:31
25C. TimminsD000+200.02120—17:23
23M. KniesL101-350.80300—16:56
2S. BenoitD011000.00020—16:44
88W. NylanderR000010.380003316:25
74B. McMannC000-100.00100015:22
89N. RobertsonL101+110.25112—13:51
29P. HolmbergR000-120.030206713:47
18S. LorentzC000-130.0230010012:59
67M. PaciorettyL000000.00202—09:58
11M. DomiC000-200.000021009:31
75R. ReavesR000-100.00204—08:06
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Hildeby(L)38326.8423.20-2.8059:41

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).