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Blue Jackets at Maple Leafs
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸5
Toronto Maple Leafs
1
FinalTV FDSNOH, SN·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-1. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was James van Riemsdyk's goal at 13:40 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 68% to 85%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 3.5, TOR 3.7; shots on goal were CBJ 19, TOR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Dennis Hildeby stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Fantilli (3 G), 2. Elvis Merzlikins (28 saves, .966), 3. Luca Del Bel Belluz (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    A. Fantilli3 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    E. Merzlikins28 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    L. Del Bel Belluz1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ172527519
TORTOR0150915129

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    A. Fantilli(12)SHG
    I. Provorov (17), M. Olivier (8)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:40

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    J. van Riemsdyk(9)
    L. Del Bel Belluz (3), K. Johnson (15)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:40
  2. CBJ
    A. Fantilli(13)
    D. Voronkov (15), Z. Werenski (37)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    15:21

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    L. Del Bel Belluz(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-0
    5:56
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(20)
    W. Nylander (22), O. Ekman-Larsson (17)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    9:22
  3. CBJ
    A. Fantilli(14)EN
    K. Marchenko (33), D. Fabbro (8)
    wristxG 0.66Video
    5-1
    12:02

Penalties

CBJ 15 PIM·TOR 9 PIM

1st

  • 1:32CBJMathieu Olivier · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Reaves5 min
  • 1:32TORRyan Reaves · Fightingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier5 min
  • 3:26CBJDmitri Voronkov · Holdingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 6:26CBJElvis Merzlikins · Holding the stickdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 6:26TORAuston Matthews · Illegal stick2 min
  • 13:42CBJZach Werenski · Trippingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min

2nd

  • 4:10CBJSean Kuraly · Holdingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min

3rd

  • 11:05TOROliver Ekman-Larsson · Holding the stickdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 11:05CBJJames van Riemsdyk · Interferencedrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalCBJ goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: James van Riemsdyk, 2nd 13:40 — CBJ 68% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.20W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.20A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.20W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.19W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.18M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.17P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.16C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.15R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.15S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.15R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.15W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.14A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.13M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.12A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.11A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.09F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.08M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.08J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.08M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.07W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.05F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.05B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.04N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02C. Timmins · Missed · xG 0.02R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.02B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.02R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.02C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.02S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.01F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.01F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.00W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR1 G · 3.7 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsTOR
3.54 G
All situations
1 G3.7
2.63 G
Even strength
1 G3.4
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ34%66%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 3.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsTOR
19
Shots on goal
29
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/0
Power play
0/3
15
Penalty minutes
9
11
Hits
18
25
Blocked shots
11
15
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD011+210.10032—24:43
15D. FabbroD011+110.02340—24:23
9I. ProvorovD011000.00000—20:37
86K. MarchenkoR011+210.06000—19:32
19A. FantilliC303+341.210002518:37
91K. JohnsonC011+100.23000017:54
78D. SeversonD000+210.21020—17:40
10D. VoronkovL011+110.371122016:12
65L. Del Bel BelluzC112+130.351102915:49
27Z. Aston-ReeseL000000.00020—15:16
7S. KuralyC000010.022025715:10
24M. OlivierR011+100.12115—13:48
2J. ChristiansenD000000.00030—13:39
82M. PyyhtiaL000000.00220—12:43
17J. DanforthR000020.031104312:41
21J. van RiemsdykL101+140.80022—12:07
3J. JohnsonD000+300.00020—10:41
22J. HarrisD000000.00010—08:28
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(W)29281.9663.74+2.7460:00

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).