Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Buffalo Sabres beat the Boston Bruins 3-2 in overtime, Alex Tuch scoring at 4:49. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Tuch's goal at 4:49 of overtime, which took the Sabres' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — BUF 2.4, BOS 2.3; shots on goal were BUF 30, BOS 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 18 of 20 (.900); Joonas Korpisalo stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Tuch (1 G), 2. Morgan Geekie (1 G, 1 A), 3. Owen Power (1 G, 2 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-04:19
1-113:00
1-215:13
2nd period
2-212:48
Overtime
3-24:49
Penalties
1st
- 2:35
Mark Kastelic · Trippingdrawn by Jack Quinn2 min
- 7:31
Sam Lafferty · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by John Beecher2 min
- 8:41
Connor Clifton · Boardingdrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min
- 11:37
Jordan Greenway · Fightingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov5 min
- 11:37
Nikita Zadorov · Fightingdrawn by Jordan Greenway5 min
2nd
- 1:08
David Pastrnak · High stickingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min
- 19:52
Ian Mitchell · Trippingdrawn by Jack Quinn2 min
OT
- 2:51
Marat Khusnutdinov · Trippingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Alex Tuch, OT 4:49 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.43 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.3
- 1.11 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.7
- 1.32 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 2.25
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 20
- 38%
- Faceoffs
- 62%
- 2/4
- Power play
- 0/2
- 9
- Penalty minutes
- 13
- 27
- Hits
- 31
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 23
- 7
- Giveaways
- 17
- 8
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
