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Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins

Final/OTTV MSG-B, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Boston Bruins 3-2 in overtime, Alex Tuch scoring at 4:49. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Tuch's goal at 4:49 of overtime, which took the Sabres' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — BUF 2.4, BOS 2.3; shots on goal were BUF 30, BOS 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 18 of 20 (.900); Joonas Korpisalo stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Tuch (1 G), 2. Morgan Geekie (1 G, 1 A), 3. Owen Power (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    A. Tuch1 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    M. Geekie1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    O. Power1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BUFBUF17190816330
BOSBOS29040502220

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    P. Krebs(6)PPG
    J. Quinn (15), O. Power (27)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:19
  2. BOS
    snapxG 0.21win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:00
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:13

2nd period

  1. BUF
    R. McLeod (22), B. Byram (26)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:48

Overtime

  1. BUF
    A. Tuch(26)PPG
    O. Power (28), J. Quinn (16)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:49

Penalties

BUF 9 PIM·BOS 13 PIM

1st

  • 2:35BOSMark Kastelic · Trippingdrawn by Jack Quinn2 min
  • 7:31BUFSam Lafferty · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by John Beecher2 min
  • 8:41BUFConnor Clifton · Boardingdrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min
  • 11:37BUFJordan Greenway · Fightingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov5 min
  • 11:37BOSNikita Zadorov · Fightingdrawn by Jordan Greenway5 min

2nd

  • 1:08BOSDavid Pastrnak · High stickingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min
  • 19:52BOSIan Mitchell · Trippingdrawn by Jack Quinn2 min

OT

  • 2:51BOSMarat Khusnutdinov · Trippingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalBUF goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Tuch, OT 4:49 — BUF 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.22P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.21M. Geekie · Goal · xG 0.18E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.18D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.17N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.14E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.10E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.10A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.08V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.08P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.06M. Khusnutdinov · On goal · xG 0.06N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.05V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.05M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04J. Lauko · On goal · xG 0.04I. Mitchell · Missed · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04J. Beecher · Missed · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.00
BOS2 G · 2.3 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsBOS
2.43 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.11 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
1.32 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF52%48%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsBOS
30
Shots on goal
20
38%
Faceoffs
62%
2/4
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
13
27
Hits
31
10
Blocked shots
23
7
Giveaways
17
8
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000040.25400—24:33
4B. ByramD011000.00100—24:01
71R. McLeodC011010.130003623:57
25O. PowerD123+120.07020—22:41
89A. TuchR101050.35000—22:20
72T. ThompsonC000060.564002221:15
17J. ZuckerL000020.2740010020:12
23M. SamuelssonD000-100.00010—19:06
19P. KrebsC101-140.441104017:26
9Z. BensonL000010.15110—17:03
78J. BrysonD000-200.02010—16:38
22J. QuinnR022-110.02000—14:48
75C. CliftonD000010.05322—14:20
12J. GreenwayL000000.002055012:14
29B. MalenstynL000000.03310—11:48
57B. MurrayL000-100.00100—11:20
48T. KozakC000010.022104010:07
81S. LaffertyC000020.051025008:36
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(W)20182.9002.26+0.2664:49

Season series

BUF leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).