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Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins

FinalTV MSG-B, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Geekie's goal at 18:15 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 53% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were BUF 20, BOS 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. James Reimer stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Joonas Korpisalo stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Morgan Geekie (1 G), 2. Joonas Korpisalo (19 saves, .950), 3. Charlie Coyle (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    M. Geekie1 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    J. Korpisalo19 saves, .950
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    C. Coyle1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF081903120
BOSBOS160528319

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:15

2nd period

  1. BUF
    J. Peterka(10)PPG
    snapxG 0.09win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:23

3rd period

  1. BOS
    M. Geekie(7)PPG
    slapxG 0.10win prob +41 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:15
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.51win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:08

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·BOS 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:07BOSCharlie Coyle · Hookingdrawn by Jacob Bryson2 min
  • 18:06BOSElias Lindholm · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Bryson2 min

2nd

  • 6:07BUFBeck Malenstyn · High stickingdrawn by Mason Lohrei2 min
  • 11:08BUFOwen Power · Trippingdrawn by Justin Brazeau2 min
  • 17:08BOSOliver Wahlstrom · Hookingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min

3rd

  • 16:15BUFSam Lafferty · Trippingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalBUF goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Morgan Geekie, 3rd 18:15 — BOS 53% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.51C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.47D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.12M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.10M. Geekie · Goal · xG 0.10C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.08C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.08P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.07J. Beecher · Missed · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.04J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.04C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.03A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.01C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.01M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.01C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 2.2 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsBOS
1.71 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.10 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF50%50%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.66 – 1.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsBOS
20
Shots on goal
19
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
28
20
Blocked shots
15
25
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25O. PowerD000-210.03022—24:15
4B. ByramD000-110.04120—22:58
23M. SamuelssonD000000.01120—22:31
89A. TuchR000-120.19020—19:10
17J. ZuckerL011-110.04200—18:09
77J. PeterkaR101-140.35000—17:39
75C. CliftonD000000.03240—17:35
72T. ThompsonC000-120.161203317:27
24D. CozensC000-110.083003314:34
9Z. BensonL000-120.11010—14:22
71R. McLeodC000000.010005014:06
78J. BrysonD000000.04010—13:56
19P. KrebsC000-100.143002913:47
29B. MalenstynL000010.22432—13:45
81S. LaffertyC000010.00302013:32
10H. JokiharjuD000000.00000—13:19
20J.KulichC000-120.050105712:24
96N. Aube-KubelR000020.15200—11:31
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(L)18162.8891.70-0.3059:00

Season series

BUF leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).