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Bruins at Sabres
NHL

Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres

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Boston Bruins
2
Buffalo Sabres
▸7
FinalTV MSG-B, NESN·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Boston Bruins 7-2. The Bruins scored first; the Sabres answered. The Sabres led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tage Thompson's goal at 4:43 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals were close — BOS 2.9, BUF 3.0; shots on goal were BOS 27, BUF 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 26 of 32 (.813), 3.5 goals below expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tage Thompson (3 G, 1 A), 2. JJ Peterka (3 G, 1 A), 3. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (25 saves, .926).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    T. Thompson3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Peterka3 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    U. Luukkonen25 saves, .926

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS1501319227
BUFBUF11029414733

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    M. Lohrei(3)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:44
  2. BUF
    T. Thompson(23)
    D. Cozens (15), J. Peterka (25)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:39

2nd period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(24)
    R. McLeod (15), M. Samuelsson (6)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:43
  2. BUF
    J. Peterka(12)
    O. Power (20), T. Thompson (19)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    6:32

3rd period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(25)
    R. Dahlin (29), B. Byram (19)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    3:13
  2. BOS
    B. Marchand(18)PPG
    E. Lindholm (17), D. Pastrnak (36)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-4
    10:13
  3. BUF
    J. Peterka(13)
    J.Kulich (5)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-5
    10:43
  4. BUF
    J. Peterka(14)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.48
    2-6
    14:26
  5. BUF
    Z. Benson(9)PPG
    J. Quinn (10), D. Cozens (16)
    tip-inxG 0.12Video
    2-7
    19:47

Penalties

BOS 16 PIM·BUF 4 PIM

2nd

  • 10:34BUFMattias Samuelsson · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min
  • 18:58BOSBrad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Bowen Byram2 min

3rd

  • 7:34BOSPavel Zacha · High stickingdrawn by Bowen Byram2 min
  • 8:51BUFDylan Cozens · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 18:25BOSNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
  • 18:25BOSNikita Zadorov · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalBOS goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Tage Thompson, 2nd 4:43 — BUF 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.48J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.18T. Kozak · Missed · xG 0.14A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.13J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Benson · Goal · xG 0.12P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.12T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.11T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.11T. Kozak · Missed · xG 0.10A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.10T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.09J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.08P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.08T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.08A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.08T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.06D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.05R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.05J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.05R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.04D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.04D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.03D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.03Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.02J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.02J. Kulich · Missed · xG 0.02D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.02R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.02T. Kozak · On goal · xG 0.02O. Power · On goal · xG 0.02A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kulich · On goal · xG 0.01J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.00O. Power · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF7 G · 3.0 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsBUF
2.92 G
All situations
6 G3.0
2.61 G
Even strength
5 G2.0
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS56%44%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsBUF
27
Shots on goal
33
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/2
Power play
1/3
16
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
20
14
Blocked shots
17
15
Giveaways
10
10
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6M. LohreiD101-120.18000—23:16
29P. WotherspoonD000000.00020—21:27
52A. PeekeD000-310.04110—21:07
91N. ZadorovD000-340.090212—21:02
88D. PastrnakR011-220.24000—19:04
18P. ZachaC000-210.171026018:01
39M. GeekieC000-210.201006717:32
13C. CoyleC000-310.172103316:05
79M. CallahanD000-110.01010—15:29
82J. OesterleD000-120.08120—15:19
63B. MarchandL101-340.39112—15:17
28E. LindholmC011-110.170108215:07
51M. PoitrasC000-210.14000014:49
11T. FredericC000-130.30210013:42
55J. BrazeauR000010.01310—13:04
19J. BeecherC000000.032104012:48
45C. KoepkeL000010.29100—10:51
95V. LettieriC000-110.33200010:51
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(L)32266.8132.51-3.4959:47

Season series

BUF leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).