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New York Islanders at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NESN, MSGSN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Boston Bruins 2-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Palmieri's goal at 4:21 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 64% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYI 20, BOS 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 3.3 goals saved above expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Ilya Sorokin (38 saves, .974), 2. David Pastrnak (1 G), 3. Kyle Palmieri (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin38 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    K. Palmieri1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI161707220
BOSBOS015011113139

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau (18), R. Pulock (14)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    16:11

2nd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson (21), A. Pelech (15)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:21

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:04

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·BOS 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:34NYIAdam Boqvist · Slashingdrawn by John Beecher2 min
  • 14:05NYIAlexander Romanov · Interferencedrawn by John Beecher2 min

2nd

  • 11:05BOSJohn Beecher · Trippingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 18:24NYIBrock Nelson · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Poitras2 min

3rd

  • 3:18BOSBrad Marchand · Interferencedrawn by Noah Dobson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalNYI goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Palmieri, 2nd 4:21 — NYI 64% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.39M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.24D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.21E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.20B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.19P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.17B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.16M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.15B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.14D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.13P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.13B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.12P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.11B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.11C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.10D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.10C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.09C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.08B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.07M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.07M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.06D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.06B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.06M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.05M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.05N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.05C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.04M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.04M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.03P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.03A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.03B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.03C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.02C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.02M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.02P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Beecher · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.01M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.01M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · Missed · xG 0.00
BOS1 G · 4.3 xG · 65 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsBOS
1.92 G
All situations
1 G4.3
1.72 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.20 G
Power play
0 G1.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI17%83%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.91 – 4.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsBOS
20
Shots on goal
39
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
33
25
Blocked shots
18
23
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28A. RomanovD101020.07242—24:29
10S. HolmstromR000+110.07030—21:53
3A. PelechD011+100.01120—21:42
29B. NelsonC011040.611025021:28
4T. DeAngeloD000000.00020—21:20
14B. HorvatC000040.212206020:15
8N. DobsonD000+200.03120—18:54
6R. PulockD011000.01230—18:00
21K. PalmieriC101+120.40110017:31
27A. LeeL000+120.1710010015:55
44J. PageauC011+100.002106015:32
34A. BoqvistD000000.02112—14:10
11A. DuclairL000010.00000—13:13
53C. CizikasC000-100.002104412:30
7M. TsyplakovR000-110.05220—10:38
20H. FaschingR000020.16110—09:47
32K. MacLeanC000010.080004009:12
16M. GatcombC000000.03100007:37
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)39381.9744.32+3.3259:54

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).