Boston Bruins at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the New York Islanders 6-3. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Zacha's goal at 10:48 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals were close — BOS 2.1, NYI 2.0; shots on goal were BOS 21, NYI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 15 of 20 (.750), 3.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Zacha (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brock Nelson (2 G, 1 A), 3. Brad Marchand (2 G).
Three stars
- ★P. Zacha2 G, 1 A

- ★★B. Nelson2 G, 1 A

- ★★★B. Marchand2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
1-00:57
2-06:31
2-112:50
2nd period
2-28:52
3-211:59
3-319:52
3rd period
4-310:48
5-313:23
6-317:58
Penalties
3rd
- 15:50
Nikita Zadorov · Cross checkingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Pavel Zacha, 3rd 10:48 — 48% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.15 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.0
- 1.25 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.8
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.24 – 2.00
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 0/0
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 0
- 35
- Hits
- 36
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 15
- Giveaways
- 16
- 3
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
NYI leads 2-1
6@
3this game
5@
4OTFinal
2@
1Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
