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New York Islanders at Boston Bruins

Final/OTTV NESN, MSGSN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Boston Bruins 5-4 in overtime, Bo Horvat scoring at 3:10. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Islanders led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bo Horvat's goal at 3:10 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.2 to 2.7; shots on goal were NYI 37, BOS 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 0.8 goals below expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Bo Horvat (2 G), 2. David Pastrnak (2 G), 3. Anders Lee (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    B. Horvat2 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    A. Lee2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI2121171711537
BOSBOS19192804430

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    deflectedxG 0.24win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:01
  2. NYI
    B. Horvat(11)SHG
    J. Pageau (11), R. Pulock (12)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:22
  3. NYI
    snapxG 0.01win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:33

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(17)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    4:11
  2. BOS
    snapxG 0.18win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:18

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(18)
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    3:41
  2. BOS
    slapxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-3
    4:35
  3. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.41win prob +35 ptsVideo
    4-4
    12:44

Overtime

  1. NYI
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.23win prob +51 ptsVideo
    5-4
    3:10

Penalties

NYI 2 PIM·BOS 0 PIM

1st

  • 3:01NYIserved by P. Engvall · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalNYI goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Bo Horvat, OT 3:10 — NYI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.52D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.41D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.26C. Koepke · Goal · xG 0.24C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.22J. Brazeau · Goal · xG 0.18B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.12O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.11D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.11B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.10B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.10P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.08M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.08J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.07M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.07B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.06B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.06N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.05O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.01M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS4 G · 3.2 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsBOS
2.75 G
All situations
4 G3.2
2.64 G
Even strength
4 G3.1
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI41%59%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.63 – 3.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsBOS
37
Shots on goal
30
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/0
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
0
14
Hits
31
19
Blocked shots
22
11
Giveaways
20
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28A. RomanovD011-130.02160—25:21
3A. PelechD011+240.07110—25:14
8N. DobsonD000020.11120—23:23
6R. PulockD123+220.05030—22:45
13M. BarzalC011+320.14100020:58
29B. NelsonC000+210.491005818:38
14B. HorvatC202+130.731007417:34
44J. PageauC011020.022002517:20
27A. LeeL202+270.59200—17:00
7M. TsyplakovR000-100.01010—16:48
21K. PalmieriC000-110.04000016:04
24S. MayfieldD000-130.05010—14:42
11A. DuclairL000010.02010—14:39
53C. CizikasC000-130.0521010014:22
25D. CholowskiD000-100.01000—11:45
18P. EngvallL000-200.01000—10:53
32K. MacLeanC000-110.232201810:20
20H. FaschingR000-120.06010—09:44
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)30264.8673.16-0.8463:10

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).