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Senators at Islanders
NHL

Ottawa Senators at New York Islanders

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Ottawa Senators
▸2
New York Islanders
0
FinalTV MSGSN, TSN5·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New York Islanders 2-0. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Gaudette's goal at 8:42 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.0 to 1.0; shots on goal were OTT 27, NYI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Leevi Meriläinen stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Marcus Hogberg stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Leevi Meriläinen (24 saves, 1.000), 2. Adam Gaudette (1 G), 3. Marcus Hogberg (25 saves, .962).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    L. Meriläinen24 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    OTT
    A. Gaudette1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    M. Hogberg25 saves, .962

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0517115227
NYINYI070908024

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. OTT
    A. Gaudette(14)
    T. Kleven (2), S. Pinto (6)
    tip-inxG 0.22win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:42

3rd period

  1. OTT
    A. Zub(1)EN
    J. Norris (10), D. Batherson (25)
    slapxG 0.57win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-0
    18:36

Penalties

OTT 7 PIM·NYI 7 PIM

1st

  • 2:02NYIMatt Martin · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min
  • 2:02OTTZack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Matt Martin5 min

2nd

  • 11:48OTTNikolas Matinpalo · Slashingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

3rd

  • 9:06NYINoah Dobson · Holdingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalOTT goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Adam Gaudette, 2nd 8:42 — OTT 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.08B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.06R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.05C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.04B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.02B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.02M. Gatcomb · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.01I. George · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.01P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI0 G · 1.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsNYI
3.01 G
All situations
0 G1.0
2.21 G
Even strength
0 G0.9
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT77%23%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 1.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsNYI
27
Shots on goal
24
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/1
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
7
26
Hits
22
24
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
12
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000+130.10140—31:46
2A. ZubD101+210.57270—24:23
43T. KlevenD011+100.01040—22:42
3N. JensenD000030.07100—21:40
71R. GreigC000020.18410020:42
12S. PintoC011+120.171203518:52
7B. TkachukL000+120.285006018:40
19D. BathersonR011+140.30110—18:39
9J. NorrisC011+120.111204718:32
28C. GirouxR000010.160103317:31
18T. StützleC000020.1910010017:11
21N. CousinsC000+100.00200016:55
33N. MatinpaloD000000.00012—13:38
15M. HighmoreC000030.32100011:11
81A. GaudetteR101+110.22000—07:49
38Z. OstapchukC000000.33200007:48
17Z. MacEwenR000010.03305—05:57
72T. ChabotD000000.00110—04:04
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Meriläinen(W)242401.0001.04+1.0460:00

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).