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New York Rangers at Florida Panthers

FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New York Rangers 2-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Bennett's goal at 19:10 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYR 24, FLA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 32 of 34 (.941); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (23 saves, .958), 2. Sam Bennett (1 G), 3. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky23 saves, .958
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    V. Tarasenko1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR090916124
FLAFLA113011110234

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    slapxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    19:10

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:08
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.06win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:20

Penalties

NYR 2 PIM·FLA 2 PIM

1st

  • 3:56NYRVincent Trocheck · Hookingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 11:30FLAKyle Okposo · Interferencedrawn by Jonny Brodzinski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNYR goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Sam Bennett, 1st 19:10 — FLA 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.20M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.14V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.12A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.10S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.10S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.07A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.05O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.05G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.05E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.04E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.04E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA2 G · 2.3 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsFLA
1.91 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR42%58%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.91 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsFLA
24
Shots on goal
34
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
48
Hits
40
12
Blocked shots
23
15
Giveaways
17
7
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011+110.27320—24:11
16V. TrocheckC011+100.169025623:59
10A. PanarinL101040.14100—22:40
8J. TroubaD000-120.08510—20:50
13A. LafrenièreL000+100.01810—20:44
56E. GustafssonD000-110.01210—19:56
93M. ZibanejadC000+130.091004519:39
20C. KreiderL000+110.20300—19:09
79K. MillerD000-120.06110—18:09
55R. LindgrenD000030.05110—18:06
91A. WennbergC000010.181205016:49
4B. SchneiderD000-110.01210—15:02
24K. KakkoR000-210.28200—11:47
21B. GoodrowC000-100.005204011:46
72F. ChytilC000-220.062002511:16
96J. RoslovicC000000.1500010009:09
50W. CuylleL000010.07200—08:51
22J. BrodzinskiC000010.100003308:13
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)34322.9412.34+0.3457:44

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).