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Florida Panthers at New York Rangers

Final/OTTV ESPN, ESPN+·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Florida Panthers 2-1 in overtime, Barclay Goodrow scoring at 14:01. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Barclay Goodrow's goal at 14:01 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.7, NYR 2.4; shots on goal were FLA 27, NYR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Igor Shesterkin stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Barclay Goodrow (1 G), 2. Igor Shesterkin (26 saves, .963), 3. Sergei Bobrovsky (28 saves, .933).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    B. Goodrow1 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin26 saves, .963
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky28 saves, .933

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA17090506127
NYRNYR18090815230

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.21win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:12
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:09

Overtime

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.04win prob +48 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:01

Penalties

FLA 12 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:12FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 4:12NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Roughingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 4:12FLACarter Verhaeghe · Roughingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 9:56FLADmitry Kulikov · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
  • 17:10NYRBarclay Goodrow · Interferencedrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

2nd

  • 12:15FLAKevin Stenlund · Interferencedrawn by Filip Chytil2 min
  • 12:15NYRFilip Chytil · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
  • 12:50FLAAaron Ekblad · High stickingdrawn by Chris Kreider2 min
  • 19:15NYRAdam Fox · Holdingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

3rd

  • 0:29FLACarter Verhaeghe · High stickingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalFLA goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Barclay Goodrow, OT 14:01 — NYR 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.21C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.17M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.15M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.14C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.14C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.13C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.11A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.09J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.09R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.08F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.08F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.06J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.05E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.04B. Goodrow · Goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.04E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.04W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.03W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.02F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.00A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.00V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 2.4 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNYR
2.71 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.00 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA55%45%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNYR
27
Shots on goal
30
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
0/4
12
Penalty minutes
8
40
Hits
51
23
Blocked shots
25
4
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD000-130.02340—31:20
5A. EkbladD000-100.00312—29:51
62B. MontourD000-130.46230—26:31
16A. BarkovC000020.303104825:11
13S. ReinhartC000030.660105024:04
77N. MikkolaD000-110.01310—23:16
23C. VerhaegheC101-120.17104021:03
9S. BennettC011010.16500019:05
27E. LuostarinenC000010.112005618:51
17E. RodriguesC000010.131006718:45
19M. TkachukL000-110.24212—18:14
15A. LundellC011-120.141205718:12
91O. Ekman-LarssonD000000.01320—18:01
7D. KulikovD000010.02132—17:35
10V. TarasenkoR000010.01310—17:16
82K. StenlundC000-100.002022512:39
94R. LombergL000-150.21400—10:29
21N. CousinsC000-100.00130009:42
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)30282.9332.43+0.4374:01

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).