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Panthers at Rangers
NHL

Florida Panthers at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸3
New York Rangers
2
FinalTV ESPN, ESPN+·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New York Rangers 3-2. The Rangers scored first; the Panthers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anton Lundell's goal at 10:22 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were FLA 37, NYR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anton Lundell (1 G), 2. Gustav Forsling (1 G), 3. Igor Shesterkin (34 saves, .944).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Lundell1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    G. Forsling1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin34 saves, .944

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA08113216337
NYRNYR01116110227

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(8)SHG
    M. Zibanejad (12)
    backhandxG 0.44win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:04
  2. FLA
    G. Forsling(4)
    S. Bennett (4), A. Ekblad (5)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:21

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Lundell(3)
    E. Luostarinen (4)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +33 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:22
  2. FLA
    S. Bennett(5)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.81win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:08
  3. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(8)
    M. Zibanejad (13), C. Kreider (4)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-2
    19:10

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:31FLAEetu Luostarinen · Slashingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
  • 14:36NYRK'Andre Miller · Roughingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min

2nd

  • 0:42NYRK'Andre Miller · Trippingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 3:43FLAKyle Okposo · Trippingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min
  • 4:22NYRErik Gustafsson · Roughingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 4:22FLANiko Mikkola · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Igor Shesterkin2 min
  • 9:04NYRJacob Trouba · Holding the stickdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min

3rd

  • 6:58FLANiko Mikkola · Trippingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalFLA goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Anton Lundell, 3rd 10:22 — FLA 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.44A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.18V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.17C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.14A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.12A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.11C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.09K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.09E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.07A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.06C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.06F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.05C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 2.6 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNYR
4.52 G
All situations
2 G2.6
3.32 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA66%34%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.57 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNYR
37
Shots on goal
27
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
29
17
Blocked shots
20
1
Giveaways
12
1
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD011+110.02650—24:24
13S. ReinhartC000-230.521203623:28
42G. ForslingD101+220.09000—23:17
16A. BarkovC000-220.261104021:16
62B. MontourD000-110.04120—20:11
23C. VerhaegheC000-110.10100018:46
9S. BennettC112+251.364004418:05
19M. TkachukL000+160.21000—17:42
77N. MikkolaD000010.04024—17:01
91O. Ekman-LarssonD000+120.02410—16:16
27E. LuostarinenC011+120.25112016:15
17E. RodriguesC000+100.010005015:42
15A. LundellC101+130.460106714:05
7D. KulikovD000010.25210—13:09
10V. TarasenkoR000+120.26110—11:49
82K. StenlundC000020.251004009:59
8K. OkposoR000030.35102—08:17
18S. LorentzC000000.02000004:18
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)27252.9262.64+0.6460:00

Series

FLA leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).