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Maple Leafs at Bruins
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins

Final/OTTV ESPN, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Boston Bruins 2-1 in overtime, Matthew Knies scoring at 2:26. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Knies's goal at 2:26 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were TOR 33, BOS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 31 of 33 (.939). Three stars: 1. Matthew Knies (1 G), 2. Joseph Woll (27 saves, .964), 3. Jeremy Swayman (31 saves, .939).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Knies1 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Woll27 saves, .964
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    J. Swayman31 saves, .939

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR1110110813233
BOSBOS1201001204128

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    snapxG 0.02win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:33
  2. BOS
    snapxG 0.23win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:54

Overtime

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.21win prob +52 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:26

Penalties

TOR 6 PIM·BOS 10 PIM

1st

  • 14:53BOSBrandon Carlo · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

2nd

  • 0:28TORWilliam Nylander · Trippingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 2:44BOSPatrick Maroon · Interferencedrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
  • 19:37BOSCharlie Coyle · Roughingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 19:37TORJoel Edmundson · Roughingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 19:37BOSBrad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

3rd

  • 7:29TORPontus Holmberg · Roughingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 7:29BOSBrad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalTOR goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Matthew Knies, OT 2:26 — TOR 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.31T. Frederic · Goal · xG 0.23B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.17J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.13D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.09M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.09C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.09M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.08P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.07C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.06C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.06C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.06C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.06M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.06T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.05J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.04D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.03J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.03M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.03T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.02B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.02J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.01C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.00B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.00P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.00
BOS1 G · 2.2 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsBOS
2.42 G
All situations
1 G2.2
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR55%45%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsBOS
33
Shots on goal
28
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/3
Power play
0/1
6
Penalty minutes
10
38
Hits
43
8
Blocked shots
19
11
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000+150.51100—26:19
22J. McCabeD101010.12600—22:40
91J. TavaresC011+140.195006222:34
88W. NylanderR000+150.34102—22:17
16M. MarnerR011+120.08000—21:45
37T. LiljegrenD000000.02220—19:10
11M. DomiC011+130.150108618:54
20J. EdmundsonD000020.11312—17:57
2S. BenoitD000-110.00500—17:29
59T. BertuzziL000+130.38010—17:15
46I. LyubushkinD011+210.03310—17:04
23M. KniesL101+140.38210—17:03
19C. JarnkrokC000-110.030005014:43
64D. KampfC000010.052005013:13
24C. DewarC000000.04210012:17
29P. HolmbergR000-100.001024310:28
89N. RobertsonL000-100.01100—09:34
75R. ReavesR000000.00400—07:28
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(W)28271.9642.16+1.1662:26

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).