Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Boston Bruins 2-1 in overtime, Matthew Knies scoring at 2:26. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Knies's goal at 2:26 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were TOR 33, BOS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 31 of 33 (.939). Three stars: 1. Matthew Knies (1 G), 2. Joseph Woll (27 saves, .964), 3. Jeremy Swayman (31 saves, .939).
Three stars
- ★M. Knies1 G

- ★★J. Woll27 saves, .964

- ★★★J. Swayman31 saves, .939

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
1-05:33
1-113:54
Overtime
2-12:26
Penalties
1st
- 14:53
Brandon Carlo · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
2nd
- 0:28
William Nylander · Trippingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
- 2:44
Patrick Maroon · Interferencedrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
- 19:37
Charlie Coyle · Roughingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
- 19:37
Joel Edmundson · Roughingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
- 19:37
Brad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
3rd
- 7:29
Pontus Holmberg · Roughingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
- 7:29
Brad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Matthew Knies, OT 2:26 — 48% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.42 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.2
- 1.82 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.1
- 0.60 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.11
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 62%
- Faceoffs
- 38%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/1
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 38
- Hits
- 43
- 8
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 11
- Giveaways
- 9
- 5
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
