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Maple Leafs at Bruins
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins

FinalTV ESPN, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Boston Bruins 3-2. The Bruins scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 12:06 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 48% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were TOR 34, BOS 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Linus Ullmark stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (1 G, 2 A), 2. Ilya Samsonov (27 saves, .931), 3. David Pastrnak (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    I. Samsonov27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR11411317334
BOSBOS21009010229

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    M. Geekie(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:18
  2. TOR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:32
  3. BOS
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:52

2nd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.08win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:26

3rd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.19win prob +35 ptsVideo
    3-2
    12:06

Penalties

TOR 10 PIM·BOS 10 PIM

1st

  • 9:52TORJake McCabe · Cross checkingdrawn by Jakub Lauko2 min
  • 12:29BOSJohn Beecher · Hookingdrawn by John Tavares2 min

2nd

  • 12:01BOSserved by T. Frederic · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:52BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Interferencedrawn by John Tavares2 min

3rd

  • 3:33TORRyan Reaves · Holdingdrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min
  • 3:33BOSserved by P. Maroon · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:57TORTyler Bertuzzi · Slashingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 13:57TORIlya Lyubushkin · Roughingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 13:57BOSCharlie Coyle · Roughingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min
  • 20:00TORJoel Edmundson · Trippingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalTOR goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, 3rd 12:06 — TOR 48% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Geekie · Goal · xG 0.18D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.17D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.14P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.14J. Beecher · On goal · xG 0.11B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.10B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.08C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.07K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.06P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.06P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.06P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.06T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.04B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.04C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.04J. Lauko · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.03P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.03J. Beecher · Missed · xG 0.03B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.03B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.03B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.02C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.02B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.02B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.01M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.00J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.00C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.00C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.00J. Lauko · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS2 G · 1.9 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsBOS
2.93 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR62%38%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.52 – 1.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsBOS
34
Shots on goal
29
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/3
Power play
1/2
10
Penalty minutes
10
45
Hits
52
11
Blocked shots
18
10
Giveaways
6
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
34A. MatthewsC123+280.916107023:24
44M. RiellyD000+230.03040—23:04
20J. EdmundsonD000000.00622—22:38
59T. BertuzziL011+250.40402—20:47
37T. LiljegrenD000000.00000—20:44
22J. McCabeD000-100.00122—20:33
16M. MarnerR000-120.08100—20:24
91J. TavaresC101-120.093105018:03
64D. KampfC000020.341003315:17
2S. BenoitD000-100.00100—15:13
11M. DomiC112+220.28000015:04
23M. KniesL000-120.13610—14:10
19C. JarnkrokC000030.4930010013:49
46I. LyubushkinD011+200.00002—13:40
24C. DewarC000020.04300011:06
75R. ReavesR000000.00702—10:32
29P. HolmbergR000000.003003309:45
89N. RobertsonL000030.09000—07:21
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35I. Samsonov(W)29272.9311.88-0.1260:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).