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Bruins at Maple Leafs
NHL

Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs

FinalTV ESPN, NESN·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Marchand's goal at 11:53 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 48% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.7 to 2.9; shots on goal were BOS 34, TOR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Jeremy Swayman (28 saves, .933), 2. Brad Marchand (2 G, 1 A), 3. Ilya Samsonov (30 saves, .909).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    J. Swayman28 saves, .933
  2. ★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    I. Samsonov30 saves, .909

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS07115312434
TORTOR0719114230

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.52win prob +20 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:10
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.01win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:37

3rd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.37win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:07
  2. TOR
    deflectedxG 0.21win prob +34 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:25
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +35 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:53
  4. BOS
    wristxG 0.87win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:24

Penalties

BOS 10 PIM·TOR 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:40TORSimon Benoit · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 4:21BOSMason Lohrei · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 9:08BOSPavel Zacha · Trippingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min

2nd

  • 7:15BOSDavid Pastrnak · Hookingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
  • 18:38BOSCharlie McAvoy · Roughingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min
  • 19:44TORTyler Bertuzzi · Roughingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

3rd

  • 4:07BOSMason Lohrei · Hookingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 18:56TORJohn Tavares · Holdingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalBOS goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Brad Marchand, 3rd 11:53 — BOS 48% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Knies · Goal · xG 0.52T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.21C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.16T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.15M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.15T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.13C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.12J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.11C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.10J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.10M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.09C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.08J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.07T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.07T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.06J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.04M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.04N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.03C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.03D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.02J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.00M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.00M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.00A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR2 G · 2.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsTOR
4.73 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.32 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.91 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS43%57%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsTOR
34
Shots on goal
30
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/3
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
63
Hits
74
24
Blocked shots
18
15
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000050.11732—25:47
27H. LindholmD011020.03140—25:03
25B. CarloD000+220.03220—23:43
88D. PastrnakR011-210.754025020:03
29P. WotherspoonD000-110.01330—19:10
63B. MarchandL213+261.74210—18:39
13C. CoyleC011010.617205617:21
74J. DeBruskL101-220.39710—17:08
18P. ZachaC000-220.182023616:47
39M. GeekieC011+120.032003314:52
43D. HeinenL011+120.074003314:30
6M. LohreiD000010.02224—14:19
11T. FredericC101+220.044101413:09
21J. van RiemsdykL000020.39120—10:46
19J. BeecherC000010.094206710:28
12K. ShattenkirkD000-100.00310—10:05
61P. MaroonL000020.16300—09:41
70J. BoqvistC000000.00500009:12
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(W)30282.9332.92+0.9259:17

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).