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Seattle Kraken at Minnesota Wild

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Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Minnesota Wild 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tye Kartye's goal at 17:20 of the third period, which took the Kraken's chances from 48% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were SEA 27, MIN 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.2 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Yanni Gourde (2 G), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G), 3. Tye Kartye (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    Y. Gourde2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    T. Kartye1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA0711139427
MINMIN1705212324

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:04

2nd period

  1. SEA
    M. Beniers(15)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:00

3rd period

  1. SEA
    Y. Gourde(10)SHG
    wristxG 0.16win prob +31 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:38
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.16win prob +34 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:13
  3. SEA
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +45 ptsVideo
    3-2
    17:20
  4. SEA
    Y. Gourde(11)EN
    wristxG 0.95win prob +13 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:14
  5. MIN
    B. Faber(8)PPG
    M. Boldy (40), R. Hartman (24)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-3
    18:55

Penalties

SEA 8 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:30SEAOliver Bjorkstrand · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

2nd

  • 4:24MINAlex Goligoski · High stickingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
  • 9:37MINMarcus Johansson · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
  • 11:32MINMats Zuccarello · Trippingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min

3rd

  • 4:56SEAJared McCann · High stickingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min
  • 6:41SEABrandon Tanev · High stickingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
  • 18:01SEAJordan Eberle · Trippingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalSEA goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Tye Kartye, 3rd 17:20 — SEA 48% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.16M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.10M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.09M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.09J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.06L. Ohgren · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.05M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.05F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05B. Faber · Goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.04D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.04M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.02M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.00F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.00J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 1.8 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsMIN
3.23 G
All situations
3 G1.8
1.41 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.71 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA60%40%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 1.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsMIN
27
Shots on goal
24
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
11
Hits
10
15
Blocked shots
16
3
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD000+320.05100—22:26
39R. EvansD000+110.10220—19:58
24J. OleksiakD011+200.00040—19:40
10M. BeniersC101-130.110006018:58
3W. BorgenD000010.03100—18:36
37Y. GourdeC202+221.120206118:25
7J. EberleR000-130.36002—17:25
4J. SchultzD011-110.06000—17:24
19J. McCannL011+130.20002—16:57
8B. DumoulinD000-100.01110—16:32
95A. BurakovskyL000-150.32000—15:59
17J. SchwartzL000000.000205014:50
22O. BjorkstrandR022+100.12012—14:19
13B. TanevL022+210.08322—14:04
20E. TolvanenR000000.21100—13:30
52T. KartyeL101+110.15200—12:09
90T. TatarL000020.2300010012:09
41P. BellemareL000020.090108310:11
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(W)24213.8751.78-1.2260:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).