Wild at Kraken 3-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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Minnesota Wild

▸3

Seattle Kraken

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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Seattle Kraken 3-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marco Rossi's goal at 12:34 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 83% to 97%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.7, SEA 2.5; shots on goal were MIN 26, SEA 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected; Joey Daccord stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Filip Gustavsson (24 saves, 1.000), 2. Matt Boldy (1 G), 3. Joey Daccord (23 saves, .920).

Three stars

★
F. Gustavsson24 saves, 1.000
★★
M. Boldy1 G
★★★
J. Daccord23 saves, .920

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
MIN	16	08	212	326
SEA	09	07	08	024

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

M. Boldy(7)
K. Kaprizov (16)
wristxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
1-0
7:14

3rd period

M. Rossi(9)
M. Zuccarello (22)
wristxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
2-0
12:34
J. Eriksson Ek(14)EN
R. Hartman (6)
wristxG 0.63Video
3-0
19:56

Penalties

6 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

8:25Alex Goligoski · Holdingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min
16:31Brandon Duhaime · Holdingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

2nd

4:34Jamie Oleksiak · Trippingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

3rd

0:26Joel Eriksson Ek · Holdingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
5:58Vince Dunn · High stickingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: SEA

Biggest swing: Marco Rossi, 3rd 12:34 — MIN 83% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.5 xG · 42 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 2.7 xG · 35 att SEA

0 G · 2.5 xG · 42 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.72 G
All situations: 0 G2.5; 1.72 G
Even strength: 0 G0.9; 0.40 G
Power play: 0 G1.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

42%58%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

26
Shots on goal: 24; 35%
Faceoffs: 65%; 0/2
Power play: 0/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 4; 16
Hits: 11; 25
Blocked shots: 23; 4
Giveaways: 3; 10
Takeaways: 14

Box score

every player line

Minnesota Wild skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
46J. SpurgeonD	0	0	0	+2	2	0.08	0	1	0	—	27:20
5J. MiddletonD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	7	0	—	26:30
7B. FaberD	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	3	0	—	24:12
14J. Eriksson EkC	1	0	1	+2	3	0.71	1	0	2	35	20:45
24Z. BogosianD	0	0	0	+2	1	0.03	4	3	0	—	18:23
97K. KaprizovL	0	1	1	+1	2	0.35	1	3	0	—	17:38
38R. HartmanR	0	1	1	+1	1	0.13	3	2	0	36	16:42
12M. BoldyL	1	0	1	+1	2	0.33	0	0	0	—	16:11
17M. FolignoL	0	0	0	+1	0	0.12	2	2	0	—	15:00
26C. DewarC	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	2	0	0	40	14:53
89F. GaudreauC	0	0	0	0	3	0.13	0	0	0	23	13:54
36M. ZuccarelloR	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	1	1	0	—	13:22
90M. JohanssonL	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	0	0	0	50	13:00
23M. RossiC	1	0	1	+1	3	0.43	0	1	0	40	12:59
21B. DuhaimeL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	—	12:45
33A. GoligoskiD	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	2	—	12:21
20P. MaroonL	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	2	0	100	10:15
4J. MerrillD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	0	0	—	07:50

Minnesota Wild goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)	24	24	0	1.000	2.51	+2.51	60:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Dec 103@0this game
Feb 245@2Final
Apr 184@3Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken

1st period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score