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Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken

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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Seattle Kraken 5-2. The Kraken scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Boldy's goal at 1:09 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 63% to 79%. Expected goals were close — MIN 3.1, SEA 2.9; shots on goal were MIN 31, SEA 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mats Zuccarello (4 A), 3. Vince Dunn (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello4 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    V. Dunn1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN21039012531
SEASEA19012111232

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    slapxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:36
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:59
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.18win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:32

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(23)PPG
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:09
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-1
    2:14
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.03win prob +6 ptsVideo
    5-1
    6:58

3rd period

  1. SEA
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    6:11

Penalties

MIN 19 PIM·SEA 21 PIM

1st

  • 12:38SEAJaden Schwartz · Trippingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min
  • 13:07SEAJamie Oleksiak · High stickingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 16:40MINJonas Brodin · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
  • 19:22SEAAdam Larsson · Elbowingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

2nd

  • 1:58MINBrandon Duhaime · Cross checkingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 1:58SEAVince Dunn · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 4:45MINMats Zuccarello · Slashingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min
  • 14:03MINJon Merrill · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 17:28SEAYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 17:28MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 18:10SEAVince Dunn · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

3rd

  • 6:34MINJoel Eriksson Ek · High stickingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
  • 12:44SEAAdam Larsson · High sticking double minordrawn by Marcus Johansson4 min
  • 15:18MINMats Zuccarello · Trippingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 19:36SEAWill Borgen · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime5 min
  • 19:36MINBrandon Duhaime · Fightingdrawn by Will Borgen5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalMIN goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Boldy, 2nd 1:09 — MIN 63% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.16J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.14A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.14A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.13J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.12A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.12A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.11A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.11J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.10T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.09A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.09T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.07J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.07J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.06A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.05V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.04B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.04M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · Goal · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.02W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.01M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA2 G · 2.9 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSEA
3.15 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.13 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
2.02 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN53%47%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.01 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSEA
31
Shots on goal
32
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/6
Power play
0/5
19
Penalty minutes
21
9
Hits
27
22
Blocked shots
11
2
Giveaways
3
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD011000.12000—24:43
25J. BrodinD000020.04022—23:45
47D. ChisholmD000010.10130—21:26
97K. KaprizovL213041.13100—21:11
14J. Eriksson EkC011050.202045820:48
12M. BoldyL101-130.4001010019:33
36M. ZuccarelloR044+230.16024—18:20
38R. HartmanR011+220.081304117:26
5J. MiddletonD011+130.03010—17:22
90M. JohanssonL101+210.07020—14:21
89F. GaudreauC000000.000008013:31
6D. MermisD101010.03040—12:22
23M. RossiC000-130.101004012:04
26C. DewarC011000.100104311:34
4J. MerrillD000+100.00112—10:06
21B. DuhaimeL000010.14017—09:46
10V. LettieriC000-120.341004009:22
27J. LucchiniC000-100.00110008:32
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)32302.9382.85+0.8559:48

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).