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Oilers at Coyotes
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
2
Utah Mammoth
▸5
FinalTV SCRIPPS, SN·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matias Maccelli's goal at 15:05 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.5, ARI 2.4; shots on goal were EDM 30, ARI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.1 goals below expected; Connor Ingram stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Liam O'Brien (1 G), 2. Dylan Guenther (1 G, 1 A), 3. Lawson Crouse (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    L. O'Brien1 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    D. Guenther1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    L. Crouse1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM11008112230
ARIARI161939524

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    L. O'Brien(5)
    J. Välimäki (15), M. Kesselring (16)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:18
  2. EDM
    S. Carrick(10)
    M. Ekholm (34), E. Bouchard (64)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:06

2nd period

  1. ARI
    M. Maccelli(17)
    J. McBain (18), A. Raty (1)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:05

3rd period

  1. ARI
    L. Crouse(23)
    V. Kolyachonok (3), D. Guenther (17)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:55
  2. EDM
    W. Foegele(20)
    P. Broberg (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    8:01
  3. ARI
    D. Guenther(18)PPG
    C. Keller (43), A. Kerfoot (32)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-4
    14:27
  4. ARI
    S. Durzi(9)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.53win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    15:45

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:31ARIJack McBain · Hookingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min

2nd

  • 3:53ARIJ.J. Moser · Trippingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

3rd

  • 1:55EDMWarren Foegele · Holdingdrawn by Aku Raty2 min
  • 13:17EDMMattias Ekholm · Interferencedrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalEDM goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Matias Maccelli, 2nd 15:05 — ARI 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Durzi · Goal · xG 0.53M. Maccelli · Goal · xG 0.20L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.15D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.13M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.13C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.13L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.13L. O'Brien · Goal · xG 0.11C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.10L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.09L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.09D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.08J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.08J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.05V. Kolyachonok · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.03M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.02L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.01D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.01M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.00M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.00N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI5 G · 2.4 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsARI
2.52 G
All situations
4 G2.4
2.12 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM62%38%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.48 – 1.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsARI
30
Shots on goal
24
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
20
8
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
5
10
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD011020.14002—23:15
2E. BouchardD011-130.14000—22:09
73V. DesharnaisD000-110.02300—19:57
29L. DraisaitlC000-120.360006119:20
27B. KulakD000-130.05510—19:01
97C. McDavidC000-220.342105818:10
18Z. HymanL000-220.36110—17:44
86P. BrobergD011-110.00020—16:50
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000010.1900010016:14
51T. StecherD000000.00000—16:04
37W. FoegeleL101+140.19102—15:27
19A. HenriqueC000+110.17210015:22
55D. HollowayL000-100.06300—13:32
28C. BrownR000-110.01010—13:20
13M. JanmarkC000010.07000013:10
71R. McLeodC000-130.120008012:58
90C. PerryR000-110.12010—12:44
39S. CarrickC101020.160006712:30
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(L)23194.8261.87-2.1359:03

Season series

ARI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).