Utah Mammoth at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Utah Mammoth beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2 in overtime, Matias Maccelli scoring at 1:35. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matias Maccelli's goal at 1:35 of overtime, which took the Coyotes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — ARI 3.4, EDM 3.5; shots on goal were ARI 28, EDM 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Calvin Pickard stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Matias Maccelli (1 G, 1 A), 2. Karel Vejmelka (39 saves, .951), 3. Evander Kane (2 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Maccelli1 G, 1 A

- ★★K. Vejmelka39 saves, .951

- ★★★E. Kane2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-05:20
2nd period
1-11:49
2-15:37
3rd period
2-21:12
Overtime
3-21:35
Penalties
1st
- 6:09
Michael Carcone · Slashingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
- 17:39
Evan Bouchard · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
2nd
- 13:29
Mattias Ekholm · Trippingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Matias Maccelli, OT 1:35 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.43 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.5
- 3.13 G
- Even strength
- 2 G3.4
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.34 – 3.36
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 41
- 35%
- Faceoffs
- 65%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 19
- Hits
- 37
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 4
- Giveaways
- 9
- 7
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
