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Oilers at Coyotes
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸6
Utah Mammoth
3
FinalTV SCRIPPS, SN·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Utah Mammoth 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Coyotes led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Hyman's goal at 4:54 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.8, ARI 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 26, ARI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 22 of 25 (.880); Matt Villalta stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evander Kane (2 G), 2. Nick Bjugstad (2 G), 3. Evan Bouchard (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    E. Kane2 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    N. Bjugstad2 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM2707412626
ARIARI172909325

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(27)PPG
    C. McDavid (61), E. Bouchard (37)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:12
  2. ARI
    N. Bjugstad(11)
    L. Crouse (11), M. Dumba (5)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:15
  3. EDM
    M. Janmark(2)
    B. Kulak (6), V. Desharnais (8)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:07

2nd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(22)PPG
    N. Schmaltz (18), S. Durzi (21)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-2
    2:53
  2. ARI
    N. Bjugstad(12)
    C. Keller (29)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-3
    10:52

3rd period

  1. EDM
    E. Kane(20)
    E. Bouchard (38), M. Ekholm (17)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-3
    4:28
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(33)
    M. Ekholm (18), E. Bouchard (39)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +28 ptsVideo
    4-3
    4:54
  3. EDM
    E. Kane(21)
    R. McLeod (11), L. Draisaitl (40)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    5-3
    6:31
  4. EDM
    W. Foegele(11)EN
    C. McDavid (62), L. Draisaitl (41)
    wristxG 0.56win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-3
    18:51

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·ARI 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:33ARINick Bjugstad · High stickingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 12:31ARIMathew Dumba · Slashingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

2nd

  • 1:32EDMMattias Janmark · Hookingdrawn by Matias Maccelli2 min

3rd

  • 10:44ARIJack McBain · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 10:44EDMCorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min
  • 15:35EDMEvander Kane · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Michael Kesselring2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalEDM goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Zach Hyman, 3rd 4:54 — EDM 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.38J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.38L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.13N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.12A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.12J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.10M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.08L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.07S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.07D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.07M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.06N. Bjugstad · Goal · xG 0.05L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.05J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.05B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.05L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.05L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.05L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.05J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.05M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.04M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.03J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.03D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · Goal · xG 0.03J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.03L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.03L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.02M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.02C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.00J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.00
ARI3 G · 2.6 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsARI
2.85 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.64 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM43%57%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsARI
26
Shots on goal
25
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
27
17
Blocked shots
11
11
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+130.02030—22:52
5C. CeciD000+110.00110—21:09
97C. McDavidC022+110.171003320:38
2E. BouchardD033+120.11020—20:20
14M. EkholmD022+120.09210—20:06
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000+120.253205719:04
29L. DraisaitlC123+110.230106919:03
18Z. HymanL101+120.36100—17:09
73V. DesharnaisD011+110.01310—16:56
91E. KaneL202+230.36212—16:53
27B. KulakD011+100.02100—16:26
71R. McLeodC011+300.001004014:48
37W. FoegeleL101+210.72100—14:23
90C. PerryR000-220.13002—12:43
55D. HollowayL000010.012108011:54
10D. RyanC000010.110306311:18
13M. JanmarkC101+120.13012009:55
89S. GagnerC000010.02000009:12
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)25223.8802.65-0.3559:50

Season series

ARI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).