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Predators at Blackhawks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NBCSCH+ 2, BSSO·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kiefer Sherwood's goal at 19:03 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were NSH 40, CHI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Arvid Soderblom stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (3 G), 2. Luke Evangelista (2 A), 3. Kevin Lankinen (25 saves, .962).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg3 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    L. Evangelista2 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    K. Lankinen25 saves, .962

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH213214113540
CHICHI0611208126

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    snapxG 0.02win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:53
  2. NSH
    wristxG 0.47win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    19:03

2nd period

  1. NSH
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.21win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    5:22
  2. NSH
    J. Zucker(14)PPG
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-0
    9:39
  3. CHI
    slapxG 0.15win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-1
    16:58

3rd period

  1. NSH
    snapxG 0.20win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-1
    1:37

Penalties

NSH 10 PIM·CHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:25CHIAndreas Athanasiou · Trippingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 15:11NSHDante Fabbro · Roughingdrawn by Landon Slaggert2 min

2nd

  • 0:33NSHRoman Josi · Trippingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
  • 8:29CHIConnor Bedard · Hookingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 15:24NSHTommy Novak · Trippingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min
  • 15:53NSHColton Sissons · Hookingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min

3rd

  • 0:26CHIAlex Vlasic · Abuse of officials2 min
  • 19:03CHINick Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
  • 19:03NSHJeremy Lauzon · Boardingdrawn by Landon Slaggert2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalNSH goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Kiefer Sherwood, 1st 19:03 — NSH 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.23N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.20R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.17P. Kurashev · Goal · xG 0.15L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.14T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.14N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.12C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.12J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.11M. Entwistle · On goal · xG 0.10C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.10T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.09C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.08C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.08S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.08J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.08N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.08J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.05C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.05L. Slaggert · On goal · xG 0.05K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.04M. Entwistle · Missed · xG 0.04C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.04L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.04C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.04N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02K. Korchinski · Missed · xG 0.02T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Slaggert · Missed · xG 0.01C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI1 G · 2.6 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCHI
3.15 G
All situations
1 G2.6
2.52 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.63 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH59%41%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.07 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCHI
40
Shots on goal
26
60%
Faceoffs
40%
3/3
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
12
Hits
22
12
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. LauzonD000020.06512—21:48
45A. CarrierD000010.01000—21:09
59R. JosiD011040.21012—19:21
2L. SchennD011+130.09200—19:18
24S. StastneyD011+200.00010—18:55
57D. FabbroD000+100.00022—17:06
47M. McCarronC000+110.041307316:04
17M. JankowskiL000000.100003315:56
77L. EvangelistaR022050.48000—15:55
90R. O'ReillyC011010.060004315:26
82T. NovakC011010.020024315:19
36C. SmithR000020.06000—14:53
9F. ForsbergL303+170.61010—14:50
44K. SherwoodL101+240.6311010014:33
10C. SissonsC000+110.021028013:45
16J. ZuckerL101+130.28100—13:25
21A. BeauvillierR000030.20120—12:49
8C. GlassC000020.250007511:08
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(W)26251.9622.60+1.6059:49

Season series

NSH leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).