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Blackhawks at Predators
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators

FinalTV BSSO, NBCSCH+·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gustav Nyquist's goal at 5:16 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 57% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.9 to 1.3; shots on goal were CHI 21, NSH 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (21 saves, 1.000), 2. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G, 1 A), 3. Gustav Nyquist (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros21 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. O'Reilly1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    G. Nyquist1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI050808021
NSHNSH11609211336

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi (22), R. O'Reilly (17)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:16

3rd period

  1. NSH
    slapxG 0.21win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:23
  2. NSH
    wristxG 0.45Video
    0-3
    19:27

Penalties

CHI 13 PIM·NSH 11 PIM

1st

  • 4:43CHIBrett Seney · Holding the stickdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 19:37NSHJeremy Lauzon · Interferencedrawn by MacKenzie Entwistle2 min

2nd

  • 17:10CHINick Foligno · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
  • 17:10CHINick Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon5 min
  • 17:10NSHJeremy Lauzon · Fightingdrawn by Nick Foligno5 min
  • 20:00NSHJuuso Parssinen · High stickingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min

3rd

  • 11:43NSHRyan O'Reilly · Hookingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min
  • 14:53CHIBoris Katchouk · Hookingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 15:12CHIConnor Murphy · Hookingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCHI goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Gustav Nyquist, 1st 5:16 — NSH 57% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Evangelista · Goal · xG 0.45R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.24R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.21A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.11Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.11L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.11T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.10T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.10C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.08T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.08P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.08P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.05L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05G. Nyquist · Goal · xG 0.05Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.04L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.03T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.00L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.00R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 2.9 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsNSH
1.30 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.10 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI27%73%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.30 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsNSH
21
Shots on goal
36
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/3
Power play
2/4
13
Penalty minutes
11
30
Hits
24
25
Blocked shots
11
10
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72A. VlasicD000000.03030—23:02
55K. KorchinskiD000-110.02020—22:22
23P. KurashevC000010.060105019:49
22N. ZaitsevD000010.04250—19:20
5C. MurphyD000000.00502—19:14
98C. BedardC000-100.000105019:04
8R. DonatoC000-110.012006718:38
16J. DickinsonC000-110.153202817:26
17N. FolignoL000010.034072516:50
46L. CrevierD000020.04230—16:15
70C. GuttmanC000030.290106715:40
25J. TinordiD000000.00320—14:58
43C. BlackwellC000040.1900010013:41
27L. ReichelL000-120.18000—13:22
58M. EntwistleR000-110.090103813:20
14B. KatchoukL000010.0150210012:44
62B. SeneyL000010.073323311:27
91A. BeauvillierR000010.091106708:34
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Soderblom(L)35332.9432.50+0.5059:11

Season series

NSH leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).