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Blackhawks at Predators
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
2
Nashville Predators
▸4
FinalTV NBCSCH, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Smith's goal at 16:20 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 74% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were CHI 31, NSH 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Kevin Lankinen stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Gustav Nyquist (1 G), 2. Yakov Trenin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kevin Lankinen (29 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    G. Nyquist1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    Y. Trenin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    K. Lankinen29 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI0919113231
NSHNSH21211118431

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    Y. Trenin(1)
    C. Sissons (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:07
  2. NSH
    G. Nyquist(2)PPG
    R. O'Reilly (7), F. Forsberg (12)
    wristxG 0.37win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    18:32

2nd period

  1. CHI
    P. Kurashev(3)
    C. Bedard (5), S. Jones (7)
    wristxG 0.47win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:05
  2. NSH
    C. Smith(3)
    P. Tomasino (2), M. McCarron (2)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:20

3rd period

  1. CHI
    T. Johnson(5)
    J. Dickinson (5)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:15
  2. NSH
    C. Smith(4)EN
    Y. Trenin (1), D. Fabbro (3)
    wristxG 0.94win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:48

Penalties

CHI 6 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:25NSHAlexandre Carrier · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
  • 14:13CHILukas Reichel · Holdingdrawn by Juuso Parssinen2 min
  • 17:12CHICorey Perry · Trippingdrawn by Philip Tomasino2 min

2nd

  • 16:55CHICorey Perry · Interferencedrawn by Cole Smith2 min

3rd

  • 0:55NSHYakov Trenin · High stickingdrawn by Alex Vlasic2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCHI goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Cole Smith, 2nd 16:20 — NSH 74% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.94G. Nyquist · Goal · xG 0.37M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.16R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.13R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.12Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.12C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.11F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.11C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.11J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.10J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.10T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.10Y. Trenin · Goal · xG 0.10G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.09A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.09L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.08C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.08P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.05K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.05K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.03T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.02G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.00J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.00R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH4 G · 3.9 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsNSH
2.32 G
All situations
3 G3.9
1.82 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI38%62%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsNSH
31
Shots on goal
31
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
31
Hits
30
9
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD011-150.13220—25:23
98C. BedardC011010.121002721:18
55K. KorchinskiD000010.01000—20:48
5C. MurphyD000000.00220—19:50
23P. KurashevC101020.54100019:29
72A. VlasicD000+120.21100—18:10
17N. FolignoL000+130.277103818:09
11T. RaddyshR000010.04100—16:51
71T. HallL000-150.2020010016:39
27L. ReichelL000030.111024415:28
44W. KaiserD000000.00200—15:05
90T. JohnsonC101-120.171107515:02
94C. PerryR000-100.14014—14:58
41I. PhillipsD000-100.00200—14:30
16J. DickinsonC011020.121005012:29
58M. EntwistleR000-110.011104311:18
52R. JohnsonC000-100.005103310:42
8R. DonatoC000-130.21100010:23
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Soderblom(L)30273.9002.96-0.0458:08

Season series

NSH leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).