Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Florida Panthers beat the Ottawa Senators 2-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Cousins's goal at 14:48 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals were close — OTT 2.3, FLA 2.5; shots on goal were OTT 26, FLA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Anthony Stolarz stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Stolarz (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Nick Cousins (1 G), 3. Anton Lundell (1 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Stolarz26 saves, 1.000

- ★★N. Cousins1 G

- ★★★A. Lundell1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
2 goals1st period
0-112:02
0-214:48
Penalties
1st
- 2:20
Zack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich5 min
- 2:20
Jonah Gadjovich · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min
- 6:51
Niko Mikkola · Fightingdrawn by Ridly Greig5 min
- 6:51
Ridly Greig · Roughingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
- 6:51
Ridly Greig · Fightingdrawn by Niko Mikkola5 min
- 10:17
Artem Zub · High stickingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
- 12:13
Dmitry Kulikov · Interferencedrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
- 18:04
Josh Mahura · Trippingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
2nd
- 17:09
Erik Brannstrom · Roughingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
3rd
- 0:27
Evan Rodrigues · High stickingdrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
- 12:38
Parker Kelly · Hookingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
- 17:58
Brady Tkachuk · High stickingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nick Cousins, 1st 14:48 — 67% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.30 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.5
- 1.40 G
- Even strength
- 1 G0.7
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.4
- 0.30 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 2.40
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/5
- 20
- Penalty minutes
- 16
- 44
- Hits
- 31
- 23
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 7
- Giveaways
- 9
- 9
- Takeaways
- 13
Box score
every player line
Season series
FLA leads 4-0
5@
0Final
2@
3OTFinal
6@
0Final
0@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
